Sanele Mjikane
This report highlights the critical role silver plays in data centres and artificial intelligence (AI), automotive and electric vehicles (EVs), and solar energy photovoltaics (PVs). With these sectors expected to expand significantly over the coming years, we expect future silver demand to be strong.
The scaling of climate finance for developing countries will take centre stage at the 30th
Conference of the Parties (COP30) of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change
(UNFCCC) starting today, in Brazil. Leaders will grapple with how to plug the gaping shortfall in
funds needed to help developing economies curb emissions and adapt to climate shocks.
Reforming the global financial architecture will be a key discussion.
Uncertainty around global growth has widened the range of possible outcomes for oil consumption. While demand growth currently lags behind supply, stronger-than-expected trade or industrial activity could lift demand above projections. This brief explores whether Nigeria and Algeria are positioned to take advantage of such an upside.
The US has taken its most aggressive step yet against Russia’s oil sector, sanctioning the financial arms of Rosneft and Lukoil, companies that together account for nearly half of Russia’s seaborne crude exports. The move immediately pushed Brent prices up by $3 per barrel, though this reaction is unlikely to last as the global market remains well supplied and history suggests sanctions will be learned and evaded over time. The impact, instead, will fall mainly on Russian revenues rather than global oil supply.
Around the world, governments are increasingly adopting artificial intelligence (AI) — not just to improve efficiency in public services, but to change how they deliver results for citizens. The question is no longer whether AI should be adopted, but how to do so responsibly, effectively and at scale.
By 2035, we expect France’s public debt to approach 125% of GDP, up from 113% in 2024 and among the highest in advanced economies. Given the current political impasse, meaningful fiscal consolidation is unlikely before the 2027 presidential election. Even after that, we expect it to be gradual, keeping debt on an upward path and France’s vulnerability to shocks elevated.