Research Briefing
The Hungarian economy is being hit by a perfect storm of shocks, particularly surging inflation and a weakening currency. Our...
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Research Briefing
The Hungarian economy is being hit by a perfect storm of shocks, particularly surging inflation and a weakening currency. Our...
Research Briefing
The strength of the US labor market, as demonstrated by the increase in job openings in September, will frustrate the...
Research Briefing
Sub-Saharan Africa will be at the very epicentre of global urbanisation over the next two decades, with the world’s top...
Research Briefing
Supply chain developments were mixed in October, but the implications for the outlook, particularly for inflation, are modest. The easing...
Research Briefing
Fiscal policy has begun to play a more active part in business cycle management. But while its role in pushing...
Research Briefing
Timely October trade data from North Asia are flashing warning signs that Asia's export downturn is gathering momentum. We think...
Research Briefing
The National Bank of Poland (NBP) kept its policy rate unchanged at 6.75% at yesterday's meeting, undershooting consensus and our...
Research Briefing
Despite an upside growth surprise for Q3, we still expect the eurozone to fall into a widespread recession. Not all...
Research Briefing
Despite the recent deterioration in the UK housing market, we think the doomsday scenario set out in the Bank of...
Research Briefing
While most measures suggest a tight UK labour market, the pass-through to wage growth has been weak. We expect labour...
Research Briefing
South Africa's detailed JET IP unveiled at COP27 offers a model for other carbon-intensive developing countries to follow. Although the...
Research Briefing
The precipitous decline of the Yen to record fresh lows (and briefly above 150 last month) coupled with a dramatic...
Research Briefing
We think there is a slim chance that the Bank of Japan will adjust its Yield Curve Control policy when...
Research Briefing
Our analysis of the economies of metros across the US provides us with a basis for projecting household income growth...
Research Briefing
The CNB again left the policy rate unchanged at 7% at the November meeting, staying put for the third consecutive...
Research Briefing
Russia’s shutdown of natural gas flows to Europe has resulted in skyrocketing regional prices. This has contributed to a significant...
Research Briefing
The BoE raised Bank Rate by 75bps to 3% at its November meeting, in line with our expectations and market...
Research Briefing
Russia's quick U-turn over its earlier decision to suspend participation in the Black Sea grain initiative suggests that pressure from...
Research Briefing
To no one's surprise, the FOMC raised interest rates by 75bps for a fourth consecutive meeting, lifting the target range...
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast is for consumer spending in the eurozone to fall over the next two quarters as consumption fundamentals...