Research Briefing
We revisit the economic impact of climate change by incorporating temperature volatility and extremes.
Explore our economic briefings, providing key insights into market trends and economic developments. Download the full reports for comprehensive data and detailed analysis to help you stay ahead in a changing economy.
Research Briefing
We revisit the economic impact of climate change by incorporating temperature volatility and extremes.
Research Briefing
We expect real estate values to correct sharply in 2023, but pressure should gradually alleviate as policy rates peak.
Research Briefing
Bank Indonesia raised its policy rate by 50 bps at its last meeting on November 17, making for a total...
Research Briefing
Over the medium and long term, differences in city economic performance are hugely influenced by disparities in productivity growth. In...
Research Briefing
The global economic outlook has deteriorated, with downside risks threatening global real estate.
Research Briefing
The energy crisis will shape the macroeconomic outlook again in 2023, keeping the eurozone economy in recession at the start...
Research Briefing
We anticipate most advanced economies will fall into recession in 2023 and global growth will be weaker than the consensus...
Research Briefing
With negotiations extending into the weekend amid fears of a stalemate, COP27 delegates finally agreed to set up a fund...
Research Briefing
After nine months of devastating war, we expect Ukraine's economic contraction to reach 31% in 2022. Prompt monetary and fiscal policy responses and $23bn of external financing have prevented a much deeper contraction.
Research Briefing
Rising interest rates mean the BoE is now making a loss on the gilts it purchased under quantitative easing. With the Treasury committed to making the BoE's...
Research Briefing
Following the conclusion of HomeBuilder, rising property prices and interest rate hikes, first home buyer (FHB) demand has normalised to...
Research Briefing
We think the outlook for traditional winter sales in the eurozone is subdued this year and any boost won't be...
Research Briefing
Many cities in the world's advanced economies will enter recession in 2023, with soaring inflation and tightening monetary and fiscal...
Research Briefing
Policies aimed at managing China's housing slump have led investors to query the shape and depth of a market correction....
Research Briefing
Better fundamentals and fewer operational setbacks should lower gross gas use by the EU's power sector by 200TWh (5% of...
Research Briefing
We earlier argued that Asia’s manufacturing activity has been impacted more by demand than by supply-side pressures, due to strict Covid-related policies. Supply...
Research Briefing
We think China's exit from its zero-Covid policy will only happen in H2 2023 - a more cautious view than...
Research Briefing
We expect the Japanese economy to grow at 0.9% y/y in 2023, after 1.6% growth in 2022. Four reasons why...
Research Briefing
While our outlook for emerging markets (EMs) is more upbeat than for advanced economies (AEs), we have cut our 2023...
Research Briefing
As Russia's war in Ukraine enters a new phase, so does the economic crisis. Based on my conversations with locals...