Research Briefing
PMIs for March remained in positive territory across the GCC but showed nonoil growth at a varying pace in the...
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Research Briefing
PMIs for March remained in positive territory across the GCC but showed nonoil growth at a varying pace in the...
Research Briefing
CPI inflation is set to rise well above the Bank of Canada’s 2% target this spring and will likely surpass...
Research Briefing
After attacks on Palma in northern Mozambique in which dozens of civilians, including a South African and a Briton, lost...
Research Briefing
With the government confirming that non-essential retailers and outdoor hospitality will reopen in England on Monday, our forecast of a...
Research Briefing
The coronavirus resurgence in India is raising concerns that the recovery could be derailed. With state governments reluctant to reintroduce...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker rose 1.3ppts to 88.1 in the week ended March 26 on gains across most of the...
Research Briefing
Our Oxford Economics Normality Tracker improved in March, reflecting a fall in Covid cases, thanks to the January lockdown.This has...
Research Briefing
Our recovery tracker indicator has continued to improve through 2021 after a seasonal dip in January. The tracker has reached...
Research Briefing
Despite the early-2021 rally reducing the previously glaring undervaluation of Sri Lankan bonds, they remain below fair value based on...
Research Briefing
Despite increasing numbers of new coronavirus cases globally, the possibility that more economies will enjoy both limited domestic restrictions and...
Research Briefing
Emerging market currencies tend to move with the economic cycle. Consequently, after losing ground in 2020, they have recently shown...
Research Briefing
Achieving collective immunity is a pre-condition for Latin American authorities to lift mobility restrictions permanently. We forecast that LatAm won’t...
Research Briefing
Q4’s national accounts revealed GDP falling not quite as far short of pre-Covid levels as previously believed. And a reversion...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker rose 1.1ppts to 87 in the week ended March 19 on broad-based gains across five of...
Research Briefing
The unexpected resilience of house prices last year sets 2021 up to be another year of rising values. But unsupportive...
Despite a partial recovery in H2 2020, Canada’s GDP contracted by 5.4% last year with a secondary wave of COVID-19...
Research Briefing
After an extraordinary downturn across Asian city economies in 2020 we expect a broad return to growth in 2021. But...
Research Briefing
An accelerated vaccine roll-out has raised optimism that social distancing measures will be relaxed in the coming months. The stimulus...
Research Briefing
According to our analysis, eurozone consumers are raring to get spending as soon as restrictions are eased. Our modelling, based...
Research Briefing
We forecast that seven out of Europe’s top 30 cities will see their GDP return to pre-pandemic levels in 2021....