Research Briefing | May 28, 2021

US inflation will be higher for longer

US  Inflation will be higher for longer

Over the past year, we have consistently predicted higher inflation stemming from base effects, stronger activity in the wake of the economic reopening, higher commodities prices, and supply chain bottlenecks. But two uncertainties cloud the outlook: the level that inflation will peak at, and the persistence of inflation into 2022.

What you will learn from this report:

  • Our latest US headline CPI inflation and core PCE inflation forecasts.
  • Where could the risks of overheating come from?
  • How will the Fed react?

Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Post

Slowdown in 2023, except for Chinese cities

Growth across advanced Asia Pacific cities is slowing down in 2022's second half, and their full-year growth rates will trend downwards in 2023. In emerging Asian cities, we expect an uptick in growth in 2022, followed by a marked weakening in 2023.

Find Out More

Post

European cities face a tough winter as recession spreads

Strong annual GDP growth figures for most major European cities do not tell the whole story in 2022 as the economic environment across Europe has continued to deteriorate in the second half of this year. We expect technical recessions across most major European cities in H2 2022 and into Q1 2023.

Find Out More