After stalling in Q4, the Canadian economy likely grew modestly in Q1. Labour markets have also shown impressive resilience, with...
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Consulting Report
Oxford Economics and Red Hat surveyed executives at financial institutions internationally to discover how they are using technology to expand...
Even without a steep drop in prices, the downturn in South Korea’s property sector is a source of worry given...
Research Briefing
There are four ways Treasury can avoid a near-term default on any of its obligations: Democrats and Republicans reach a...
Research Briefing
The IMF's forecast still looks too optimistic over the next 2 years in our view. The impact of bank funding...
Research Briefing
Concerns are growing that tightening financial conditions will push the US economy into recession and affect other G7 economies as...
Consulting Report
This 2023 report updates our 2020 research on the detection and prevention of financial crime, and it's cost to the...
Research Briefing
The failure of Silicon Valley Bank and other stresses in the global banking system have triggered a sharp repricing in...
Research Briefing
US authorities appear to have contained the fallout from the collapse of two regional banks – Silicon Valley Bank (SVB)...
Research Briefing
We expect the Philippines' 10-year government bond yield to trend down in 2023-2024, after rising continuously since Q3 2020.
Research Briefing
We forecast the Mexican peso will appreciate by 4.9% in 2023 to an average of 19.2/US$, up from 20.2/US$ last...
Research Briefing
The failure of two US banks caught financial markets by surprise but we believe the macroeconomic implications are minor and...
Research Briefing
The failures of Silvergate Capital and Silicon Valley Bank have not changed our baseline forecasts for GDP growth, inflation, or...
Research Briefing
We think the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) will be contained and is not a sign of systemic risks...
Research Briefing
Last week's liquidation of Silvergate Capital and the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) have raised questions about the risks...
Research Briefing
Our modelling finds few scenarios in which corporate credit offers a compelling return. Stickier inflation or a sharp sell-off in...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan enhanced its funds-supplying operations in January, after widening the tolerance band for 10-year JGB yields in...
Research Briefing
Our 2023 growth forecast of 4.5% for China is still 6-tenths below the consensus’ 5.1%, owing to a more cautious...
Research Briefing
The incoming data likely warrant some adjustments to the baseline forecast, particularly for the path of the target range for...
Research Briefing
After a difficult 2022 for UK households, we expect real income to fall 1.2% in 2023 due to a range...
