Research Briefing
Financial conditions in Canada have tightened significantly this year and we estimate this will shave 0.7ppts off GDP growth by...
Economic growth
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 1403 results
Research Briefing
The Federal Reserve knows that their mission to tame inflation isn’t complete, and odds are rising that the central bank...
Research Briefing
The 2023 outlook for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region will not compare to this year's spectacular expansion. That said,...
Research Briefing
Tightening US financial conditions over the past year will likely trim 0.2ppts from Q4 2022 GDP growth.
Research Briefing
We think the Bank of Korea (BoK) will continue to focus on inflation and the Korean won (KRW) even as headwinds to growth and financial stability rise. In our view, an extended...
Consulting Report
Oxford Economics undertook a study for the Independent Schools Council (ISC) assessing the impact of independent schools on the UK...
Consulting Report
Despite the Covid-19 pandemic, the German construction industry developed positively in 2020 and 2021 supporting the overall economy during the...
Research Briefing
Economists Arup Raha and Theng Theng Tan identify 5 themes that are likely to be important for Asia in 2023.
Research Briefing
We expect the UK economy to be in recession for most of 2023, with activity dragged down by falling real...
Research Briefing
The decline in house prices triggers falls in residential investment. Consumer spending also weakens as credit conditions tighten and worsening...
Research Briefing
The MPC and OBR both judge that UK potential GDP has fallen outright since Q4 2019 and will register only...
Research Briefing
Pioneering research has used panel econometric techniques to estimate the economic impact of average temperatures. Building on that approach, we...
Research Briefing
Reopening pressures have increased, as recent protests test policymakers' resolve to stick to the current zero-Covid approach.
Research Briefing
It's been a horrible period for EM portfolio debt flows. The better news is that broader capital flows to EMs...
Research Briefing
We expect real estate values to correct sharply in 2023, but pressure should gradually alleviate as policy rates peak.
Research Briefing
Over the medium and long term, differences in city economic performance are hugely influenced by disparities in productivity growth. In...
Research Briefing
We anticipate most advanced economies will fall into recession in 2023 and global growth will be weaker than the consensus...
Research Briefing
Many cities in the world's advanced economies will enter recession in 2023, with soaring inflation and tightening monetary and fiscal...
Research Briefing
We earlier argued that Asia’s manufacturing activity has been impacted more by demand than by supply-side pressures, due to strict Covid-related policies. Supply...
Research Briefing
We expect the Japanese economy to grow at 0.9% y/y in 2023, after 1.6% growth in 2022. Four reasons why...
