Research Briefing
To no one's surprise, the FOMC raised interest rates by 75bps for a fourth consecutive meeting, lifting the target range...
Research Briefing
To no one's surprise, the FOMC raised interest rates by 75bps for a fourth consecutive meeting, lifting the target range...
Research Briefing
2023 is likely to be a difficult year for most Asian economies with growth slowdowns, stubborn inflation, and sticky policy...
Research Briefing
Supply chain strains eased in September after increasing slightly in August. Transportation pressures subsided the most of all our tracker's...
Research Briefing
The pieces are almost in place for a high conviction OW on Asian local currency debt, but not quite. Indeed, we maintain a...
Research Briefing
As far as markets are concerned, the Fed's expected path of short term rates, peaking at 4.4% early next year,...
Research Briefing
The evidence of the past year shows that inflation has been far from transitory. But we still believe supply factors...
Research Briefing
While US policy rates will rise further in the near-term, the long-run neutral rate – the interest rate consistent with...
Research Briefing
Our baseline economic outlook now assumes a mild US recession in the first half of 2023. Despite moderate improvement in...
Research Briefing
As expected, the FOMC delivered its second consecutive 75bps rate hike, lifting the target range for the federal funds rate...
Research Briefing
Supply chain dynamics improved for the third straight month in June, according to our tracker. Pressures eased most on the...
Research Briefing
Monthly data from Russia's trading partners indicate a rapid reorientation of Russian exports towards Asian markets. In particular, the data...
Research Briefing
Currencies of large Asian commodity exporters (AUD, NZD, MYR) have substantially outperformed those of importers (INR, KRW, THB).
Research Briefing
Recent experience suggest China’s renminbi (CNY) tends to serve as a safe haven during periods of heightened market volatility.
Research Briefing
We expect monetary policy to continue to diverge across Asia Pacific in 2022, with central banks in the advanced APAC...
Research Briefing
In Asia, the upturn in production should help ease global supply-chain bottlenecks heading into 2022.
Research Briefing
Most APAC economies are shifting towards living with Covid, but the easing of restrictions can be expected to vary across...
Research Briefing
Our new monthly Asia Pacific Recovery Tracker shows overall momentum stalling in recent months amid the Delta-driven surge in Covid...
Research Briefing
Inflation has been elevated in many Asian economies for several months now. Indeed, the Bank of Korea and the Monetary...
Research Briefing
In a surprise move, the Monetary Authority of Singapore today tightened monetary policy by slightly raising the slope of the...
Research Briefing
We believe prospects for FDI inflows into APAC over the medium term remain strong, even though pandemic-driven supply disruptions and...