Executive Summary
This quarter’s scenarios quantify key risks to the global economy. These relate primarily to trade protectionism and other geopolitical tensions,...
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Executive Summary
This quarter’s scenarios quantify key risks to the global economy. These relate primarily to trade protectionism and other geopolitical tensions,...
The Northern Hemisphere is now heading into the 2024 fire season, having just had its hottest winter on record. If...
Despite the upgrade to our global economic outlook since December 2023, the Q1 update of our IFRS 9 and CECL...
We remain modestly risk-on as our above-consensus view on US growth this year still favours risk assets over bonds.
When business leaders think of the “thresholds” that hold meaningful consequences for their organisations, ones affecting corporate tax or regulatory...
Research Briefing
We move to a modest overweight on risk assets this month as we have become more optimistic on the global...
Outside the financial sector, people might be forgiven for dismissing the Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation's (SFDR) latest public consultation as...
Our risk sentiment indicator is flashing red once again following the sharp end-of-year equity rally. In this week’s Beyond the...
We think risk assets will underperform in 2024. In this week’s Beyond the Headlines, Javier Corominas, Director of Global Strategy,...
Research Briefing
We think risk assets will underperform in 2024. We map out the implications of our key 2024 global macro themes...
Every year, the Conference of the Parties on Climate Change captures the world's attention for a few weeks as government,...
Research Briefing
In our latest forecast, we removed the mild recession from our baseline and now anticipate a prolonged period of below-trend...
Research Briefing
The office sector in Australia is facing several headwinds, including reduced demand from hybrid working arrangements, slowing economic and employment...
Research Briefing
US equities dipped into correction territory last week and we see the risk of more downside in the near term, as valuations remain expensive...
The fight against inflation is well underway across the globe, with most central banks either approaching or having already reached...
Our new global relative return index (RRI) signals that commercial real estate (CRE) investment opportunities should slowly and selectively emerge...
Research Briefing
Even as commercial real estate investment declines, there are still pockets of opportunity in the sector and we think those...
Research Briefing
While the economy has expanded throughout 2023, uncertainty remains high and we are not ready to remove a recession from...
Consulting Report
The global challenges of today are transboundary and pose existential risks for our societies and economies – including climate change,...
