Research Briefing
We have kept our growth forecast for Sweden in 2022 largely unchanged but lowered it for next year to 1.6%...
Outlook
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Research Briefing
2022 is proving to be a very disappointing year for global GDP growth, with risks that the outlook could worsen....
Research Briefing
We have cut our 2022 GDP growth forecast for Denmark by 0.7ppts to 3.1% to reflect the prospect of energy...
Research Briefing
Global economic uncertainty remains elevated, despite an easing in concerns about the fallout from war. Evidence suggests risks to growth...
Research Briefing
Increased borrowing costs are raising corporate default fears in the US, but we believe higher interest rates alone won't be...
Research Briefing
Supply chain dynamics improved for the third straight month in June, according to our tracker. Pressures eased most on the...
Research Briefing
We expect eurozone services prices to continue to rise sharply over the summer as the sector's recovery progresses. The ECB...
Research Briefing
Africa's most important contribution to combating climate change will not be by foregoing the exploitation of its hydrocarbons resources. Rather,...
Research Briefing
The resignation of Prime Minister Boris Johnson could leave a policy vacuum in the UK as the Conservative Party embarks...
Research Briefing
We now see gas rationing this winter in European economies most reliant on Russia as very likely. Our modelling finds...
Research Briefing
Surging inflation across Europe has led us to lower the outlook for real growth in consumer spending this year, although...
Research Briefing
Asian cities are facing several challenges to economic growth, including the slowdown of the Chinese economy, supply chain problems, and...
Research Briefing
The short-term outlook for China's major cities has deteriorated further since our last release in March. While the global surge...
Research Briefing
Memories of the inflationary tsunami that hit the UK in the 1970s have been rekindled by inflation surging to a...
Research Briefing
The eurozone's labour market has outperformed expectations since the start of the pandemic, but current headwinds to economic growth are...
Research Briefing
Africa’s greatest potential asset is its youth – the population of those younger than 25 years is set to more...
Research Briefing
We have raised our inflation forecast for the GCC to average 3.2% this year, up from our projection of 2.8%...
Research Briefing
Monthly data from Russia's trading partners indicate a rapid reorientation of Russian exports towards Asian markets. In particular, the data...
Research Briefing
The expectation of a strong recovery in the tourism sector, coupled with the divergence between resilient services activity and a...
Research Briefing
The ground has shifted and cheap budget funding in frontier markets is a thing of the past. In the current...
