Research Briefing
It appears to be a forgone conclusion that the ECB council will agree to end its Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme...
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Research Briefing
We expect monetary policy to continue to diverge across Asia Pacific in 2022, with central banks in the advanced APAC...
Research Briefing
Diminishing economic disruption and uncertainty, stemming from the pandemic and ensuing supply-side bottlenecks, bode well for a still-strong recovery in...
Research Briefing
In Asia, the upturn in production should help ease global supply-chain bottlenecks heading into 2022.
Research Briefing
After holding at an inflow of 246,300 p.a. over the four years to 2019, pandemic induced border restrictions are estimated...
Research Briefing
We see little evidence that the outlook for underlying inflation in the eurozone is much changed from a few months...
Research Briefing
Real GDP for ASEAN-6 economies1 grew 1.7% y/y in Q3, down from 9.3% in Q2, reflecting both a less favourable...
Research Briefing
Finland’s GDP rose 0.9% in Q3 based on the flash estimate, in line with our forecast. High-frequency indicators show that...
Research Briefing
Most APAC economies are shifting towards living with Covid, but the easing of restrictions can be expected to vary across...
Research Briefing
We remain sceptical that Draghi’s reform agenda will be fully delivered and consider a long-term improvement in Italy’s economic prospects...
Research Briefing
Favorable spending fundamentals among US consumers and a desire to make up for last year’s socially distanced holidays should add...
Research Briefing
The National Bank of Poland (NBP) hiked its policy rate by 75bps to 1.25% at yesterday’s meeting. Although some tightening...
Research Briefing
We estimate that Warsaw’s GDP grew by 4.5% a year in the 2010-19 period, so notably faster than its five...
Research Briefing
Carbon pricing – either through a tax or an emissions trading scheme – will play an integral role in efforts...
Research Briefing
China's official manufacturing PMI fell 0.4 points to 49.2 in October, while the non-manufacturing PMI dropped to 52.4, from 53.2...
Research Briefing
Europe’s tourism sector made solid strides towards recovery this summer. In July, overnight stays reached just above 70% of 2019...
Research Briefing
We don’t expect any policy changes to emerge from the October ECB meeting as key policy decisions are closely tied...
Research Briefing
The recent escalation of the conflict between Poland and the European Union has significantly increased the odds of a decisive...
Research Briefing
South Africa will hold its local government elections on November 1 with popular discontent and voter apathy at an all-time...
