Research Briefing
The Eurozone economy has held up against geopolitical challenges but faces lacklustre growth in the near term, with global demand...
Research Briefing
The Eurozone economy has held up against geopolitical challenges but faces lacklustre growth in the near term, with global demand...
Research Briefing
The EU plans a narrower, targeted response to US tariffs on goods, but stronger measures may follow amid rising trade...
Research Briefing
Our proprietary Eurozone Supply Stress Indicator shows that supply stress is still low, even after the US tariff announcement on...
Research Briefing
Potential US tariffs would be disruptive for the eurozone economy as a whole, but we think their inflationary impact is...
Research Briefing
Surveys are a staple of high-frequency economic indicators, but they have become less reliable in predicting hard economic data like...
Research Briefing
We expect employment growth in the eurozone to continue slowing despite the economic recovery gathering speed. Future employment will be...
Research Briefing
A second Trump presidency could have a moderate impact on European growth based on our simulation of his proposed policies....
Research Briefing
A scenario where neither the Federal Reserve nor the European Central Bank cut rates in 2024 would reduce eurozone GDP...
Research Briefing
Our suite of nowcasting models corroborates our tepid near-term expectations for the hibernating eurozone economy, indicating Q1 growth will come...
Research Briefing
After a year of stagnating activity, the eurozone economy will continue to struggle to gain traction in the near term...
Research Briefing
Eurozone central banks became unprofitable last year, and near-term operational losses are likely to persist as banks exit the accommodative...
Research Briefing
Positive developments in energy markets mean the risk of a sharp downturn in the eurozone during the winter has diminished...