Research Briefing
We expect widespread declines in inflation and interest rates in 2024 across advanced economies. A key differentiator, however, is that...
Research Briefing
We expect widespread declines in inflation and interest rates in 2024 across advanced economies. A key differentiator, however, is that...
Research Briefing
We expect eurozone inflation will fall below the European Central Bank's target in H2 2024. This is one of our...
The United States and Europe are both set to fall into a shallow industrial recession this year, thanks to a...
Research Briefing
Q1 global industrial activity surprised to the upside, as the impact of tighter monetary policy across numerous economies was offset...
Research Briefing
As expected, the Bank of Canada (BoC) held the target for the overnight rate steady at 4.5% in April and...
Research Briefing
We expect the Philippines' 10-year government bond yield to trend down in 2023-2024, after rising continuously since Q3 2020.
Research Briefing
We expect global inflation to return to pre-crisis levels faster than it took to reach its peak. While any number...
Research Briefing
Metal prices ended 2022 lower than they started the year, despite the Russian invasion of Ukraine initially causing prices to...
Research Briefing
Despite sluggish demand growth prospects, advanced economies (AEs) automotives production growth is forecast to accelerate in 2023 as easing supply...
Research Briefing
After a mixed 2022, with post-pandemic recovery driving strong growth in the first half of the year, a recession over...
Research Briefing
Canada has likely just entered a moderate recession that will last for much of 2023.
Research Briefing
German industry has been successful in reducing its consumption of gas relative to previous years, particularly in the second half...
Research Briefing
The 2023 outlook for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region will not compare to this year's spectacular expansion. That said,...
Research Briefing
Over 2023, we expect global food, energy, and goods inflation to fall sharply. That said, the degree to which services...
Research Briefing
Swings in oil prices pack less of an economic punch than in the past but sudden increases can still be...
Research Briefing
We expect the MPC to raise Bank Rate at December's meeting. But recent UK developments, including calmer financial markets, a...
Research Briefing
Following a hard winter, we expect the Nordic economies to rebound from mid-2023 as falling inflation turns real incomes positive,...
Research Briefing
Surging inflation has dampened the outlook for consumer spending, which will contribute to a global recession over the coming months.
Research Briefing
The decline in house prices triggers falls in residential investment. Consumer spending also weakens as credit conditions tighten and worsening...
Research Briefing
Better fundamentals and fewer operational setbacks should lower gross gas use by the EU's power sector by 200TWh (5% of...