Consulting Report
Oxford Economics partnered with Airbnb to assess the economic impact of Airbnb in Asia-Pacific. We found that Airbnb contributed US$...
Emerging markets
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Research Briefing
The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region will expand less than we initially thought this year, but growth will improve in...
A palpably cautious mood has settled over central banks, economists, and corporate leaders. In many countries, the rise in interest...
In our latest monthly forecast, we raised our aggregate 2023 GDP growth forecast for emerging markets (EMs) by 0.1ppt to 4.1%. We raised our 2023 GDP growth forecast for China...
Research Briefing
Emerging market (EM) GDP growth will disappoint next year but EM central banks will reap the dividends of credible policies...
Research Briefing
Vietnam's GDP grew by an average rate of 7% annually in the past three decades, surpassing all its ASEAN regional...
Consulting Report
Tourism Economics is proud to partner with World Travel Market to produce this comprehensive overview of travel and tourism. Consumers...
Research Briefing
We project the distribution of long-term economic pain inflicted by Covid will be similar to humans in the sense that those with pre-existing conditions will end up suffering the most.
Research Briefing
Based on the middle-income trap literature, we developed a long-term growth indicator that used 33 metrics to assess risks to...
Research Briefing
China's economic growth has slowed over the past decade, and we believe it is now on a structural downtrend. In India, the long-term...
Stricken sovereigns are suffering as China and the Western-dominated IMF Board engage in a titanic wrestling match over crisis-resolution architecture....
In our latest Roundtable, “Finding opportunities in a global downturn”, Javier Corominas, Director of Global Macro Strategy, examines why we...
Research Briefing
Economic growth will generally remain subdued across major APAC cities in 2024. Nevertheless, we think that some cities will stand...
South Africa's preparations for the 15th Brics Summit in August, which the country is hosting, have been overshadowed by the...
Research Briefing
Following the failed coup in Russia over the weekend, we will not change our forecasts for GDP nor make significant changes to our commodity price forecasts. However, it highlights the...
Research Briefing
We have raised our aggregate GDP growth forecast for EMs in 2023 by 0.2ppts because most performed better than we...
Research Briefing
Emerging market (EM) central banks' credibility to restrain inflation over the medium-term horizon remains intact despite the tests it's been...
Research Briefing
Despite the US dollar already moderating from a multi-year peak in late 2022, we expect it to remain relatively strong...
Research Briefing
We forecast the Mexican peso will appreciate by 4.9% in 2023 to an average of 19.2/US$, up from 20.2/US$ last...
Research Briefing
We expect global inflation to return to pre-crisis levels faster than it took to reach its peak. While any number...
