Research Briefing
The approaching French legislative elections are defined by serious political risks. Our baseline sees Macron's presidential coalition winning the majority...
Research Briefing
The approaching French legislative elections are defined by serious political risks. Our baseline sees Macron's presidential coalition winning the majority...
Research Briefing
President-elect Ferdinand Marcos Jr faces a tricky balancing act between supporting the economic recovery and containing the Philippines' burgeoning fiscal...
Research Briefing
The SPD, FDP and Green party have struck a deal to form the next German government, which should be in...
Research Briefing
Chileans go to the polls on November 21, in a polarised election that will decide its full lower house, more...
Research Briefing
We remain sceptical that Draghi’s reform agenda will be fully delivered and consider a long-term improvement in Italy’s economic prospects...
Research Briefing
South Africa will hold its local government elections on November 1 with popular discontent and voter apathy at an all-time...
Research Briefing
The federal election has seen a further fragmentation of the vote, which has left Germany with an inconclusive result. A...
Research Briefing
Canada will likely usher in another minority government when voters hit the polls on Sept 20, led by either the...
Research Briefing
Recent political shifts have increased the odds of Germany loosening its tight national fiscal rules after the September elections, which...
Research Briefing
We expect above-average growth in the eurozone over the coming quarters given the ample pent-up demand in the aftermath of...
Research Briefing
The race to succeed long-term Chancellor Merkel and lead Europe’s largest economy is wide open. But we think Germany will...
Research Briefing
President-elect Pedro Castillo will struggle to pass legislation in Peru’s fragmented Congress, meaning the proposals that markets most worry about...
Research Briefing
The Zambia national elections that will be held on August 12 is the most unpredictable election since the country’s independence....
Research Briefing
The August 12 national elections could mark a key turning point for Zambia’s future. Deteriorating economic conditions have left President...