Research Briefing
Middle Eastern and North African cities are set to experience some of the fastest rates of employment and population growth...
Research Briefing
Middle Eastern and North African cities are set to experience some of the fastest rates of employment and population growth...
Research Briefing
Global travel will show resilience in the face of the approaching economic downturn signalled by the pace of forward bookings...
Research Briefing
Financial conditions in Canada have tightened significantly this year and we estimate this will shave 0.7ppts off GDP growth by...
Research Briefing
Tightening US financial conditions over the past year will likely trim 0.2ppts from Q4 2022 GDP growth.
Research Briefing
There is no perfect measure of nominal wages – each has its own blemishes. So, we've created a wage tracker...
Research Briefing
Swings in oil prices pack less of an economic punch than in the past but sudden increases can still be...
Research Briefing
We expect the MPC to raise Bank Rate at December's meeting. But recent UK developments, including calmer financial markets, a...
Research Briefing
Much of the economic weakness we are currently witnessing will likely spill over into 2023. African economies' ability to deal...
Research Briefing
The MPC and OBR both judge that UK potential GDP has fallen outright since Q4 2019 and will register only...
Research Briefing
Pioneering research has used panel econometric techniques to estimate the economic impact of average temperatures. Building on that approach, we...
Research Briefing
It's been a horrible period for EM portfolio debt flows. The better news is that broader capital flows to EMs...
Research Briefing
We expect real estate values to correct sharply in 2023, but pressure should gradually alleviate as policy rates peak.
Research Briefing
Over the medium and long term, differences in city economic performance are hugely influenced by disparities in productivity growth. In...
Research Briefing
The global economic outlook has deteriorated, with downside risks threatening global real estate.
Research Briefing
The energy crisis will shape the macroeconomic outlook again in 2023, keeping the eurozone economy in recession at the start...
Research Briefing
We anticipate most advanced economies will fall into recession in 2023 and global growth will be weaker than the consensus...
Research Briefing
Many cities in the world's advanced economies will enter recession in 2023, with soaring inflation and tightening monetary and fiscal...
Research Briefing
We expect the Japanese economy to grow at 0.9% y/y in 2023, after 1.6% growth in 2022. Four reasons why...
Research Briefing
As Russia's war in Ukraine enters a new phase, so does the economic crisis. Based on my conversations with locals...
Research Briefing
The Hungarian economy is being hit by a perfect storm of shocks, particularly surging inflation and a weakening currency. Our...