Research Briefing
The Nordic countries will exit 2021 in much better shape than when they entered it. Considerable progress on vaccine rollouts...
Economic outlook
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Research Briefing
We expect monetary policy to continue to diverge across Asia Pacific in 2022, with central banks in the advanced APAC...
Research Briefing
Diminishing economic disruption and uncertainty, stemming from the pandemic and ensuing supply-side bottlenecks, bode well for a still-strong recovery in...
Research Briefing
In Asia, the upturn in production should help ease global supply-chain bottlenecks heading into 2022.
Research Briefing
The eurozone pushed on with a strong recovery in 2021, but in many ways that’s been the easy part. With...
Our 2021 mainland GDP growth forecast remains unchanged at 3.9% after the 2.6% Q3 expansion was broadly in line with...
Research Briefing
We concur with the central bank’s (BSP) view that the current rise in inflation in the Philippines is for the...
Research Briefing
Real GDP for ASEAN-6 economies1 grew 1.7% y/y in Q3, down from 9.3% in Q2, reflecting both a less favourable...
Research Briefing
Most APAC economies are shifting towards living with Covid, but the easing of restrictions can be expected to vary across...
Research Briefing
Monthly data continues to show a gradual but persistent slowdown in economic activity moving deeper into Q4. While we still...
Research Briefing
We remain sceptical that Draghi’s reform agenda will be fully delivered and consider a long-term improvement in Italy’s economic prospects...
Research Briefing
Political turmoil in Portugal will delay the execution of some EU recovery funding and freeze key stimulus measures planned for...
Research Briefing
Favorable spending fundamentals among US consumers and a desire to make up for last year’s socially distanced holidays should add...
Research Briefing
The National Bank of Poland (NBP) hiked its policy rate by 75bps to 1.25% at yesterday’s meeting. Although some tightening...
Research Briefing
We estimate that Warsaw’s GDP grew by 4.5% a year in the 2010-19 period, so notably faster than its five...
Research Briefing
Carbon pricing – either through a tax or an emissions trading scheme – will play an integral role in efforts...
Research Briefing
The government has announced a record spending plan in the 2022 Budget to spur the post pandemic recovery. Measures include...
Research Briefing
China's official manufacturing PMI fell 0.4 points to 49.2 in October, while the non-manufacturing PMI dropped to 52.4, from 53.2...
Research Briefing
We forecast a permanent hit to Singapore’s population after two consecutive years of contraction in which border closures restricted regular...
