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RESEARCH BRIEFING
24 Jun 2026

AI is driving divergent growth trends across US metros

AI is transforming urban economies, with major cities thriving while job growth lags. Discover how innovation is reshaping the job market.

AI is reshaping economic landscapes across metropolitan areas, with significant disparities in growth and productivity. Cities with a high concentration of tech and professional services are seeing pronounced benefits.

Major metros like New York, San Francisco, and Seattle are leading in GDP growth, although job gains have not kept pace. Midsize cities such as Madison and Boulder are also emerging as strong players, leveraging their academic institutions to foster innovation and tech-driven enterprises.

While AI is expected to enhance productivity, the impact on employment remains mixed. Factors such as immigration trends and demographic shifts are influencing job markets more significantly than AI in the short term. Notably, the top six metros now account for over half of the national tech-services GDP, highlighting a growing concentration of economic power.

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