Webinar

Global scenarios – Quantifying the risks from the Iran war

9 June 2026

3 sessions:

9 June 2026 – 10.00am BST (London)
9 June 2026 – 10.00am HKT (Hong Kong)
9 June 2026 – 12.00pm EDT (New York)

online

Join us as we examine the key insights from our Q2 2026 Global Scenarios Service. Our focus is the Iran war, as we explore the potential implications of both a severe near-term energy shock and more persistent disruption in the event of the Strait of Hormuz remaining effectively closed over the coming 18 months.

We’ll also review how our findings align with historical evidence from past energy shocks and the views of businesses canvassed in our very latest Global Risk Survey.

This webinar is being held on our new platform, ON24. If you do not receive your confirmation email, please check your junk and spam folders.

Speakers

Jamie Thompson

Jamie is Head of Macro Scenarios. He leads the production of macro-economic scenarios for the Global Scenario Service and is responsible for identifying and writing about key risks to the global economy.

Jamie joined Oxford Economics from the Bank of England, where he worked for 17 years on a range of monetary and financial stability issues to support both the Monetary Policy Committee and the Financial Policy Committee. Most recently, Editor of the Bank’s Financial Stability Report and Financial Stability Papers series, Jamie has written and edited extensively for the Bank’s flagship publications, including the Inflation Report.

Head of Macro Scenarios

Bernard Delaney

Bernie is an Assistant Economist at Oxford Economics on the graduate rotational programme. While at Oxford Economics, he has worked on bespoke consulting projects within the Scenarios and Macro Modelling team as well as contributing to the Global Scenario Service, Global City Travel and North America Cities subscription services. He holds an undergraduate degree in Economics with Econometrics from the University of Exeter, which included a 12-month placement as an operational researcher in the Department for Business and Trade’s labour market team.

Assistant Economist, Scenarios

Jack Reid

Jack is an economist in the Scenarios and Macro Modelling team where is responsible for natural gas forecasts, and contributes to the modelling of the energy sector. Jack joined Oxford Economics in January 2024 after completing his Master of Economics at The University of Sydney.

Graduate Economist - Scenarios and Macro Modelling