Webinar

Energy Security scenario – How the Iran conflict could reshape energy policy

21 July 2026 – 2.00pm BST (London)

online

In this webinar, we will present findings from our latest Energy Security scenario. Since the start of the Iran war and as the conflict continues to evolve, concerns over the security of global energy supply have returned to the forefront of policy discussions.

The Global Climate Service uses scenario analysis to assess the impact climate change and energy systems will have on macroeconomic, financial, and business outcomes. Our Energy Security scenario explores the resilience strategies that countries may adopt to mitigate risks associated with dependence on fossil fuel imports. The scenario assumes that economies with significant domestic fossil fuel resources will double down on domestic production while others would derive more benefits from renewable expansion, in line with decarbonisation objectives. The result is a global economy that is more resilient to oil price shocks and more fragmented climate policy.

Our in-house experts will join us for a panel discussion on the implications of these findings and how the Strait of Hormuz crisis is expected to shape future energy policy.

This webinar is being held on our new platform, ON24. If you do not receive your confirmation email, please check your junk and spam folders.

Speakers

Samuel Gonzalez Holguera

Samuel is a Senior Climate Economist. He works on long-term climate scenarios as part of Oxford Economics’ Global Climate Service.

Prior to joining Oxford Economics in 2024, Samuel worked for three years at Vivid Economics and McKinsey on sustainability projects, specialising in voluntary and compliance carbon markets. Samuel holds an MPhil in Economics from the University of Cambridge, and a BA in Philosophy, Politics and Economics from Durham University.

Senior Economist

Beatrice Tanjangco

Beatrice is a Lead Climate Economist. She produces Research Briefs on Climate Change and the economy and supports the expansion of Oxford Economics’ climate capabilities under the Global Climate Service.

Prior to joining Oxford Economics in 2022, she worked on projects in climate adaptation, resilience, and risk as a Research Fellow at the Overseas Development Institute (ODI). Before focusing on climate, she worked for various international organizations (the World Bank and Asian Development Bank) and think tanks, working on topics such as trade, finance, competition, and industry analysis. She also worked in the Oxford Economics Singapore office for several years. Bea holds an MSc in Specialised Economic Analysis from the Barcelona School of Economics, with a BA in Economics with a minor in Literature from the Ateneo de Manila University.

Lead Climate Economist

Bridget Payne

Bridget is Head of Energy Forecasting. She leads the production of oil, gas, coal, and refined fuel forecasts for our Commodities Service and shapes Oxford Economics’ view on energy markets through analysis of key trends and developments.

Bridget joined Oxford Economics from the energy consultancy Flow&Ebb, where she supported corporate and industrial users with energy hedging, procurement, investment, and strategy. Prior to that, she worked in the Victoria State Government Department of Treasury and Finance, focusing on energy and climate policy.

She holds a Master of Development Economics from Victoria University of Wellington and a Bachelor of Business (Economics) from the University of Technology, Sydney.

Head of Energy Forecasting

Geoffroy Dolphin

Geoffroy is Head of Climate Research in the Scenarios and Modelling Team at Oxford Economics, where he leads climate economics research supporting policy modelling developments and consultancy projects. He regularly writes research briefs on climate change, climate policy and low-carbon technologies. Before joining Oxford Economics, Geoffroy was a climate economist in the European Department of the International Monetary Fund and a Postdoctoral Fellow at Resources for the Future in Washington, DC. He obtained his PhD from the University of Cambridge.

Head of Climate Research