Webinar

Air Passenger Forecast Update: Impact of Iran war on demand

1 July 2026

3 sessions:

1 July 2026 – 10.00am BST (London)
1 July 2026 – 10.00am HKT (Hong Kong)
1 July 2026 – 12.00pm EDT (New York)

online

In this webinar Tourism Economics and IATA will review the latest air passenger demand trends and outlook, and the macroeconomic backdrop which underpins the outlook.

We will give a special focus to the Iran war and the implications for macroeconomic demand and air passenger demand, particularly through squeezed crude oil and jet fuel supplies which are expected to linger for several months beyond the eventual cessation of hostilities. Alternative geopolitical and macroeconomic risks facing the industry and the demand impact should such risks materialise will also be discussed.

This webinar is being held on our new platform, ON24. If you do not receive your confirmation email, please check your junk and spam folders.

Speakers

Stephen Rooney

Stephen manages the Air Passenger Forecast service which offers short- and long-term forecasts of air passenger flow for almost 4,000 routes and total flows for 183 countries, as well as alternative forecast scenarios for strategic decision-making. He has developed and maintained various bespoke forecast models for a range of clients from across the travel and tourism space as well as regularly contributing to the team’s consultancy output.

Stephen holds a First Class Economics with Politics degree from the University of Ulster.

Lead Economist, Tourism Economics

Dave Goodger

David Goodger is Managing Director, EMEA, Tourism Economics. He has been instrumental in developing the global model of tourism flows and spending, which covers 185 origins and destinations, and he continues to manage regular forecast updates. He also maintains an active role in new product development and consultancy work.

David Goodger is a Director within Tourism Economics and primarily concentrates on tourism demand forecasting and market sizing. He has also taken an active role in further model development for specific purposes, with an emphasis on examining the economic contributions of particular sectors and the impact of different policies. He has conducted a groundbreaking analysis of the business travel sector for the WTTC and the US Travel Association which estimates the return on investment of corporate spending on travel and he has developed models to define destination marketing allocations.

Since joining Oxford Economics in 2000, David Goodger has been involved in a wide range of forecasting and modelling activities. He has been part of the macroeconomic forecasting and the industrial forecasting teams contributing to both regular reports and specific client studies as well as assisting in the development of detailed forecasting and simulation models.

David was educated at the University of Bristol, England, where he gained a first-class degree in Economics with Statistics; and at the London School of Economics and Political Science, England, where he graduated with an MSc in Econometrics and Mathematical Economics.

Managing Director, EMEA, Tourism Economics