Research Briefing
The CBR today surprised the market and us with a 75bp hike, which brought the policy rate to 7.50%. The...
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Research Briefing
The CBR today surprised the market and us with a 75bp hike, which brought the policy rate to 7.50%. The...
Research Briefing
We have lowered our 2021 mainland GDP growth forecast to 3.9% from 4.1% previously after a softer-than-expected expansion in July....
Research Briefing
We forecast that over the period 2020-22 Shenzhen will be the fastest growing of the world’s major cities, not only...
Research Briefing
We don’t expect any policy changes to emerge from the October ECB meeting as key policy decisions are closely tied...
Research Briefing
Rising odds of an early rate hike have brought the BoE’s guidance on when it will start reversing course on...
Research Briefing
The week was full of events that could potentially become policy shakers. While the PMIs showed economic growth keeps cooling,...
Research Briefing
The recent escalation of the conflict between Poland and the European Union has significantly increased the odds of a decisive...
Research Briefing
The IMF’s updated GDP growth projection for MENA is largely in line with our baseline, although we are more optimistic...
Research Briefing
South Africa will hold its local government elections on November 1 with popular discontent and voter apathy at an all-time...
Research Briefing
Saddled with high costs that has led to out-migration, San Francisco has recovered only 40% of its lost jobs since...
Research Briefing
Tentative travel recovery has begun with some significant improvements in activity during the middle of the year, and notably in...
Research Briefing
Although the outlook for Sweden is strong with all restrictions removed, there are downside risks related to persistent supply-chain bottlenecks...
Research Briefing
The pandemic and a fragile political base will provide little room for new PM Fumio Kishida to make drastic changes...
Research Briefing
Our new monthly Asia Pacific Recovery Tracker shows overall momentum stalling in recent months amid the Delta-driven surge in Covid...
Research Briefing
Inflation has been elevated in many Asian economies for several months now. Indeed, the Bank of Korea and the Monetary...
Research Briefing
The outlook for retail demand is mixed. As lockdowns ease, relaxed tradingrestrictions will drive sales. However, this will also facilitate...
Research Briefing
Canadian metros are rebounding strongly in 2021. We expect every metro to surpass their pre-pandemic GDP levels by the end...
Research Briefing
We estimate France’s fiscal deficit in 2022 will be around €40bn wider than projected by the government in its draft...
Research Briefing
Repeatedly hawkish comments from BoE Governor Bailey suggest that the MPC is preparing the ground for a rate rise. Consequently,...
Research Briefing
The Housing Affordability Indices (HAIs) show affordability deteriorated in nearly all US and Canadian metros in Q2 2021 as home...