Research Briefing
We have cut our 2023 GDP growth forecast for Finland by 0.3ppts to 0.5%. Although growth in Q2 remained resilient...
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Research Briefing
We have cut our 2023 GDP growth forecast for Finland by 0.3ppts to 0.5%. Although growth in Q2 remained resilient...
Research Briefing
We have increased our 2022 GDP growth forecast for Sweden by 0.4ppts to 2.4%, as growth in Q2 surprised on...
Research Briefing
After the West and its allies imposed sanctions on Russia for invading Ukraine, President Putin announced a radical rehaul of...
Research Briefing
A right-wing coalition government is expected to win in the upcoming Italian elections in September. Although "euroexit" is now very...
Research Briefing
We have expanded our climate transmission channels on the Global Economic Model to include more sub-Saharan African economies. Through scenario...
Research Briefing
We expect Hong Kong's residential property prices to fall by about 4% y/y in Q4 2022, mainly due to the...
Research Briefing
We estimate consumer spending in the eurozone increased by 0.8% q/q in Q2, despite persistent elevated inflation denting real incomes...
Research Briefing
In early August, Russia's Gazprom refused to accept a Siemens' turbine used in Nord Stream 1, citing technical issues. Gazprom...
Research Briefing
The Danish economy surprised to the upside in Q2, expanding by 0.7% q/q. This showing raised our 2022 GDP growth...
Research Briefing
As European inflation reaches record levels, the impact varies across cities and regions. We estimate that most large European cities...
Research Briefing
The July Global Risk Survey was conducted at a time when central banks in major economies were sharply raising policy...
Research Briefing
Supply-chain conditions in the US offered encouraging signs to start Q3, according to our supply chain tracker. Inflationary pressures ebbed...
Research Briefing
As expected, the FOMC delivered its second consecutive 75bps rate hike, lifting the target range for the federal funds rate...
Research Briefing
We have cut our China growth forecast to 3.2% in 2022, from 4% previously, reflecting dismal Q2 growth and the...
Research Briefing
With most of the continent finally treating Covid as endemic, we expect APAC's private consumption growth to remain resilient in...
Research Briefing
Inflation is sufficiently elevated globally that even a month without any increase in prices still leaves inflation in most economies...
Research Briefing
The post-pandemic recovery in business investment in Japan is lagging other GDP contributors. But we expect the pent-up demand accumulated...
Some indicators suggest an uptick in the London economy in June, but underlying drivers are not at all favourable, with...
Research Briefing
There are five days to go until Kenya's high-stakes elections on August 9. All eyes are on the presidential vote,...
Research Briefing
The BoE today announced a 50bp rise in Bank Rate to 1.75%, despite publishing a forecast that suggests the UK...