Research Briefing
We think the Bank of Korea (BoK) will continue to focus on inflation and the Korean won (KRW) even as headwinds to growth and financial stability rise. In our view, an extended...
Research Briefing
We think the Bank of Korea (BoK) will continue to focus on inflation and the Korean won (KRW) even as headwinds to growth and financial stability rise. In our view, an extended...
Research Briefing
While few observers expect to see any growth surprise in Japan, some have started to wonder whether global inflation may...
Consulting Report
Despite the Covid-19 pandemic, the German construction industry developed positively in 2020 and 2021 supporting the overall economy during the...
Research Briefing
There is no perfect measure of nominal wages – each has its own blemishes. So, we've created a wage tracker...
Research Briefing
Following a hard winter, we expect the Nordic economies to rebound from mid-2023 as falling inflation turns real incomes positive,...
Research Briefing
Reopening pressures have increased, as recent protests test policymakers' resolve to stick to the current zero-Covid approach.
Research Briefing
Bank Indonesia raised its policy rate by 50 bps at its last meeting on November 17, making for a total...
Research Briefing
Policy divergence will continue to be a key theme in global FI markets in 2023. Whereas we pencil in a...
Research Briefing
The National Bank of Poland (NBP) kept its policy rate unchanged at 6.75% at yesterday's meeting, undershooting consensus and our...
Research Briefing
Despite an upside growth surprise for Q3, we still expect the eurozone to fall into a widespread recession. Not all...
Research Briefing
We think there is a slim chance that the Bank of Japan will adjust its Yield Curve Control policy when...
Research Briefing
Another wave of yen weakening has not deterred the Bank of Japan (BoJ) from leaving monetary policy unchanged at today's...
Research Briefing
UK government's U-turns on tax cuts, the prospect of further fiscal policy tightening, and calmer financial markets mean the Monetary...
Research Briefing
As far as markets are concerned, the Fed's expected path of short term rates, peaking at 4.4% early next year,...
Research Briefing
While US policy rates will rise further in the near-term, the long-run neutral rate – the interest rate consistent with...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) left monetary policy unchanged at today's (22nd Sep) meeting, maintaining current short- and long-term interest rates, despite...
Research Briefing
We expect the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will hike another 35bps-50bps at its meeting this month. We think the...
Research Briefing
We expect a limited increase in policy rates across Asia, and most central banks are unlikely to match the Fed’s...
Research Briefing
Argentina's best shot at keeping its IMF deal afloat, regaining market access, and repaying bondholders is by boosting its forex...
Research Briefing
We have long been expecting a dovish pivot from the ECB at the turn of the year as supply-driven core...