Research Briefing
It’s not runaway inflation, and it’s certainly not stagflation. In fact, the US economy is going through a bout of...
Monetary policy
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 347 results
Research Briefing
In a surprise move, the Monetary Authority of Singapore today tightened monetary policy by slightly raising the slope of the...
Our 2021 mainland GDP growth forecast remains unchanged at 4.1%. With all domestic restrictions eased and the pandemic largely under...
Research Briefing
While the potential collapse of Chinese property firm Evergrande matters, it doesn’t signal a ‘Lehman moment’ that might spark global...
Research Briefing
Private bank credit contracted 2.7% in 2020 in Indonesia and continued to decline on a year-on-year basis through most of...
Research Briefing
The surge in European gas and electricity prices over recent months pushed energy prices to an all-time high in August,...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan left monetary policy unchanged at today’s meeting, maintaining short-term and long-term interest rates at current levels....
Research Briefing
Canada will likely usher in another minority government when voters hit the polls on Sept 20, led by either the...
Research Briefing
Recent political shifts have increased the odds of Germany loosening its tight national fiscal rules after the September elections, which...
Research Briefing
We expect above-average growth in the eurozone over the coming quarters given the ample pent-up demand in the aftermath of...
Research Briefing
At the September policy meeting, the CBR is likely to consider staying on hold or hiking its policy rate 25bp...
Research Briefing
Profitability has staged an impressive recovery, but the rise in Q1 operating margins to a 12-year high materially overstates corporate...
Research Briefing
Powell’s speech did not materially alter the outlook for Fed policy, but it did clarify the distinction between the timing...
Research Briefing
Bank of England MPC member Gertjan Vlieghe recently highlighted how the UK’s growing wealth will continue to put a damper...
Research Briefing
Concerns have risen about financial market risks, centring around elevated asset valuations and high corporate debt. A lack of corporate...
Research Briefing
The Egyptian economy has proven resilient in the face of the Covid-19 pandemic, but more recent PMI figures suggest that...
Research Briefing
There’s a close race as the Bank of Canada weighs sticking with its successful flexible inflation targeting (FIT) or switching...
Research Briefing
The race to succeed long-term Chancellor Merkel and lead Europe’s largest economy is wide open. But we think Germany will...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker carried the stalled progress we saw in the month of July into August, falling 0.3ppts to...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker plateaued in July after a five-month winning streak. While consumers and businesses continue to spend, peak...
