Australian Residential Property Service
Living sector forecasts, project tracking, and asset benchmarking for residential investment and development strategy.
Overview
A one-stop solution for residential property forecasts, analysis, and project intelligence across Australia’s living sector.
Australia’s residential property market is shaped by complex and shifting forces: demographic change, interest rate cycles, housing supply constraints, and evolving affordability pressures. Understanding how these drivers interact at the local level is essential for investment, development, and portfolio decisions.
Oxford Economics Australia’s Residential Property Service connects macro and demographic drivers to granular local market data across all eight states and territories, seven major capital cities, 15 capital city rings, 14 key regional centres, and 158 local government areas, delivering 15-year forecasts across more than 3,600 variables alongside live project tracking and living sector asset benchmarking tools.
Why Oxford Economics Australia?
Residential property decisions require intelligence that is both analytically rigorous and locally grounded. Oxford Economics Australia brings together decades of forecasting experience with unmatched geographic granularity and a consistent, model-backed methodology.
3,600+ indicators
Fifteen-year forecasts across prices, rents, completions, household formation, income, lending, and mortgage rates, updated quarterly.
Unmatched granularity
All eight states and territories, seven capital cities, 15 city rings, 14 regional centres, and 158 local government areas, including SA3-level data for Brisbane.
Living sector asset coverage
Build-to-rent, build-to-sell, purpose-built student accommodation, retirement villages, land lease communities, and greenfield development
5,000+ project listings
BTR and build-to-sell apartment projects valued over $30 million, with competitor Market Mappers and geographic visualisation, updated quarterly.
Model-backed and independent
Forecasts apply Oxford Economics Australia’s established methodology for quantifying dwelling demand and supply, directly linking macroeconomic and demographic drivers to residential outcomes. Entirely independent of property transactions and investment activity.
Consistent methodology
A unified framework applied across all states, regions, and living sector asset classes, covering more than 3,600 variables and ensuring accurate, like-for-like comparisons across markets and cycles.
How it helps
Our service supports investment planning, site selection, development feasibility, portfolio benchmarking, and risk management across all major living sector asset classes, from build-to-rent and greenfield to student accommodation and retirement living.
What’s included?
Our property economists deliver independent analysis to help you navigate Australia’s evolving living sector and make informed, data-driven decisions.
Living sector data and forecasts
Our residential forecasts are underpinned by Oxford Economics Australia’s long-established methodology for quantifying dwelling demand, supply, and stock balance, calibrated against the broader macroeconomic and demographic environment, including household formation, income trends, mortgage rates, affordability, and build costs.
- Updated quarterly
- Fifteen years ahead
- 3,600+ variables
- Eight states and territories
- Seven capital cities and 15 city rings
- 158 local government areas
- SA3-level data for Brisbane
- Living sector asset benchmarking
- Quarterly updates: The service is refreshed every quarter, drawing on our latest macroeconomic and demographic baseline for Australia.
- Fifteen-year forecasts: More than ten years of historical data and long-horizon forecasts, enabling users to plan beyond the immediate cycle and anticipate structural shifts in residential demand.
- Extensive indicator coverage: Over 3,600 variables forecast, including residential property prices by quartile, rents, gross yields, mortgage and rental affordability, turnover, dwelling completions, dwelling stock, new home lending, household income, and key demographic indicators such as population growth by component and five-year age cohort.
- Geographic coverage: All eight states and territories, seven major capital cities, 15 capital city rings, 14 key regional centres including the Gold Coast, Newcastle, Geelong, and Townsville, and 158 local government areas, including SA3-level data for Brisbane.
- Living sector assets: Analysis of residential investment classes, paired with benchmarking tools to pinpoint growth opportunities as the sector becomes more institutional, covering build-to-sell, build-to-rent, purpose-built student accommodation, retirement villages, land lease communities, and greenfield development.
Living sector reports and analysis
Our property economists deliver independent analysis to help you navigate Australia’s evolving living sector and make informed, data-driven decisions.
Living sector outlook
Quarterly report and chartbook covering residential market trends, forecast highlights, asset class analysis, and emerging risks across Australia, ready for internal presentations.
- Quarterly forecast reports: A quarterly report covering demand-supply dynamics, asset performance, city insights, macro assumptions, and emerging risks, with clear rationale behind every forecast change. Accompanied by a quarterly chartbook providing a visual snapshot of residential property trends, regional shifts, and emerging risks, updated quarterly and ready for internal presentations.
- Data insights: Immediate economist analysis of key data releases, with implications for our residential forecasts, keeping subscribers current between quarterly updates.
- Research briefings: Timely economist analysis of key data and policy shifts, distilled into clear, actionable takeaways for faster decisions.
- Apartment and greenfield land outlook reports: Rotating bi-annual deep-dive reports on Australia’s apartment and greenfield land markets. The apartment report covers demand-supply trends across LGAs, including outer urban areas. The greenfield report focuses on outer-ring LGAs, helping developers and investors assess risks and opportunities.
- Comprehensive living sector report: Granular analysis of residential investment classes with benchmarking tools to identify growth opportunities across all six asset classes as the sector institutionalises.
- Conferences: Complimentary attendance at our bi-annual conference to review prospects and key risks for the building industry.
Platform and tools
The living sector service makes it easy to access, analyse, and apply residential market forecasts directly into your planning and reporting workflows.
- API
- Data feed
- Excel plug-in
- Tableau-powered dashboard
- AI research assistant
- Direct economist access
- Databank access: Fifteen-year forecasts updated quarterly, with a web-based databank for instant custom queries, complete flexibility, and data download in multiple formats.
- Interactive dashboard: Interactive charts, maps, and graphics across key indicators and forecasts, integrated with living sector outlooks, briefings, chartbooks, and the databank. Covers demographics, turnover, financial conditions, supply, price outlook, ranking, rent outlook, market comparison, affordability, and rings comparison.
- Research portal and AI Assistant: Navigate analysis efficiently, extract key narratives, and integrate insights into your reports and presentations.
- Expert support: Direct access to Oxford Economics Australia’s team of residential property and macroeconomic specialists for timely guidance and tailored interpretation.
Residential project database and competitor intelligence
Forecasts tell you where residential markets are heading. Our project database gives you granular visibility of the building pipeline right now, with detailed stakeholder intelligence and competitor mapping tools that macro forecasts alone cannot provide.
- 5,000+ project listings over $30m
- BTR and build-to-sell apartments
- Build value and unit count
- Developer and builder data
- Five-year pipeline, quarterly refresh
- Work-done overview
- Competitor Market Mappers
- Geographic visualisation
- Project listings: 5,000+ BTR and build-to-sell apartment projects valued over $30 million, tracked across Australia at site level. Includes build value, unit count, and key stakeholders such as developers and builders.
- Five-year pipeline: Forward visibility of active and planned residential developments, updated quarterly by directly contactable economists to ensure pipeline changes are captured promptly.
- Work-done overview: Project tracking database updated quarterly with work-done estimates, enabling you to monitor progress and status of every live project.
- Competitor Market Mappers: Benchmark strategies, sharpen pricing and positioning, and identify market gaps. Filter by a range of indicators to understand competitor footprints and track market-share shifts across sectors and geographies.
- Advanced visualisation: Customisable geographical mapping to identify activity trends and hotspots for targeted marketing and resource allocation decisions.
- Real-time project tracking: Economist-maintained database updated quarterly, monitoring progress and status of every live project from planning through to completion.
How can we help you?
Our living sector service is used by a wide range of organisations across Australia’s residential property markets.
Here is how we can support your specific decisions:
Investors and asset managers
Identify high-growth residential markets and living sector assets, and stress-test investment assumptions against independent, model-backed forecasts.
- Which residential markets and living sector asset classes offer the strongest forward-looking price and rental growth prospects?
- How do different markets compare on yield, affordability, and demographic fundamentals?
- How would different economic or policy scenarios affect residential demand and returns across my portfolio?
Developers and development managers
Assess site feasibility, understand local demand fundamentals, and identify where supply constraints and demographic shifts are creating development opportunity.
- Where is residential demand strongest at the local government area level across my target markets?
- What is the forward outlook for greenfield land and apartment markets at a micro-geographic level, including outer-ring LGAs?
- Which living sector asset class offers the strongest demand fundamentals in my target geography?
Institutional investors and fund managers
Benchmark living sector assets, assess relative cycle positioning, and support investment committee decisions with independent, comparable data.
- How does my portfolio’s income and return profile compare to national and small-area market benchmarks?
- Where are build-to-rent, student accommodation, or retirement living assets most attractively positioned in the cycle?
- What are the long-run demographic drivers supporting institutional residential investment in my target markets?
Government and public agencies
Plan housing supply, assess affordability pressures, and evaluate the impact of policy settings on residential markets using independent, model-backed forecasts.
- Where are housing supply deficits most acute at the state, city, and local government area level?
- How will demographic change and migration patterns affect housing demand across regions over the next 15 years?
- What are the affordability implications of different supply, interest rate, and policy scenarios?
Benefits
Identify where residential growth is emerging and understand the forces driving it.
Identify growth opportunities
Pinpoint the fastest-growing residential markets and living sector assets, supported by data-driven analysis of demographic, economic, financial, and supply trends across all eight states and territories and 158 local government areas.
Benchmark performance
Compare capital city and small-area residential activity against your own portfolio to assess market position and competitive exposure, using standardised benchmarking indicators across all six living sector asset classes.
Future-proof your strategy
Leverage fifteen-year, model-backed forecasts across more than 3,600 variables to plan confidently, manage downside risk, and protect long-term investment objectives across the full residential property cycle.
Anticipate market shifts
Stay ahead of turning points in prices, rents, and supply pipelines with independent, quarterly insights and immediate data insights from our residential property and macroeconomic experts.
Latest insights
Testimonials
Oxford Economics is synonymous with high quality macroeconomic research. A compelling reason for us to subscribe to its Real Estate Economics Service.
The Real Estate Economics Service allows us to link the top-down economic outlook, drivers and risks, with our market-level forecasting and return expectation setting. This allows us to be more strategic about our allocations and how to build & maintain a well-diversified portfolio.
As an active international lender for commercial real estate, the expansion of Oxford Economics’s Real Estate Economics Service to include analysis and forecasting of real estate markets is a real gain and represents an addition to the comprehensive service we have been benefitting from for many years
For Transwestern’s asset services, investment management and development businesses, we depend on economic inputs and editorial content that are rational and insightful to inform our decisions. Oxford Economics delivers.
CMHC’s Stress Testing and ORSA team has started this year using Oxford Economics for the purpose of Stress-Testing. Our experience has been very positive. The software is sound, intuitive and user friendly. But most of all, it allows the user to understand the links between the variables and for a certain degree of customization. Without naming the tool that CMCH used prior to this year, it goes without saying the OE represents a significant upgrade over the previous tool. Further, we have also contracted OE to help us design Stress-Test scenarios. The support we have received from the team was excellent, especially during the early days of the COVID19 Pandemic. Alex, Zach, Tim, and the rest of the team, really went above and beyond to help us meet our corporate objectives.
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