Research Briefing
AI is increasingly blamed for job losses, yet the data tells a more complex story. Are workers truly being replaced...
Research Briefing
AI is increasingly blamed for job losses, yet the data tells a more complex story. Are workers truly being replaced...
Research Briefing
Australia’s unemployment hit 4.5% in September, the highest in nearly four years. As inflation stays elevated, the RBA faces pressure...
Research Briefing
Explore July's labour market update: unemployment dips to 4.2%, showing stability despite economic challenges. Learn how these trends may impact...
Research Briefing
Higher unemployment among recent US graduates is driven by structural shifts in tech hiring and AI displacement. Labor force participation...
Research Briefing
The risks around the forecast for federal government employment are skewed to the downside because of the limited scope for...
Research Briefing
Blanket 25% tariffs on Canada threatened by US President-elect Donald Trump earlier this week would push Canada into a recession...
Research Briefing
The government's plan to cut immigration and reduce the number of temporary residents will cause Canada's population to decrease slightly...
Research Briefing
The economy remains in transition and is settling into a more sustainable pace of growth, with next year being decent...
Research Briefing
A surge in temporary layoffs drove another rise in the unemployment rate in July, stoking recession concerns and fears that...
US economy is in transition, but no signs of a recession are imminent. While weaker-than-expected US labour market data have...
Research Briefing
The smaller-than-anticipated gain in July and the rise in the unemployment rate will give the perception that the Federal Reserve...
Research Briefing
The economy underwhelmed in the first half of the year while it transitioned to a more sustainable pace of growth,...
Research Briefing
The unemployment rate is on the rise and has caught the attention of the Federal Reserve and financial markets. We...
Research Briefing
The recent increase in the unemployment rate is less threatening than it appears as it is limited in scope across...
Research Briefing
On the surface, January's headline jobs figures paint a healthy picture of the Canadian labour market, but a closer look...
We believe the Canadian economy has slipped into a moderate recession that will create slack, ease price pressures and help...
Research Briefing
The odds of a recession have declined over the past several months because of a strong labor market, a deceleration...
Research Briefing
Our new demographic projection suggests rapid international migration will boost Canada's population to 42mn by 2025, which would be a...
Research Briefing
The UK's house price correction has been mild so far and recent data has indicated the market may be more...
Research Briefing
In our latest forecast, we removed the mild recession from our baseline and now anticipate a prolonged period of below-trend...