Webinar

Examining a Fractured World

18-19 November 2026

2 sessions:

18 November 2026 – 9.30am GMT (London)
19 November 2026 – 2.00pm HKT (Hong Kong/ 5pm Sydney)

online

We take a deeper dive into the scenario assumptions, exploring a possible future in which geopolitical tensions continue to rise, populists gain political power, and the world fragments into trading blocs.

In this webinar, we revisit our Fractured World scenario. We discuss the economic impacts of a deglobalised world, using our TradePrism service to disaggregate the impact on trade flows at the bilateral and commodity level. Join us to start planning for a fractured, deglobalised world.

This webinar is being held on our new platform, ON24. If you do not receive your confirmation email, please check your junk and spam folders.

Speakers

Paul Moroz

Paul Moroz holds an undergraduate degree in Philosophy, Politics, and Economics (PPE) from the University of Oxford and an MSc in Economics from Birkbeck, University of London. Paul contributes to the Global Climate Service, the Global Scenarios Service, and bespoke client scenarios.

Senior Economist - Scenarios and Macro Modelling

Harry Murphy Cruise

Harry Murphy Cruise is the Head of Economic Research and Global Trade at Oxford Economics Australia. He leads the Australian Macroeconomic Service and global trade initiatives, including TradePrism. Harry frequently provides insights to major media outlets, including CNBC, BBC, Reuters, and the Wall Street Journal. His research primarily focuses on global trade and investment flows, with particular interest in the challenges and opportunities of economic decoupling.

Harry holds a master’s degree in international and development economics from the Australian National University and a bachelor’s degree in arts and commerce from Monash University. He is a PhD candidate at ANU, exploring the role of China’s diverse households and firms in the country’s economic transition.

Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Harry was the Head of China and Australia Economics at Moody’s Analytics. He was previously responsible for Australian state and territory analysis at Deloitte Access Economics.

Head of Economic Research and Global Trade