Research Briefing
Following a year of subdued global growth in 2023, we think a further softening of economic conditions is likely next...
Middle East & Africa
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Research Briefing
South Africa's detailed JET IP unveiled at COP27 offers a model for other carbon-intensive developing countries to follow. Although the...
Research Briefing
Qatar’s hosting of the Middle East's first ever World Cup is seen benefitting the wider GCC economy, and given the...
Research Briefing
Egyptian authorities met with IMF staff on the sidelines of the IMF and the World Bank annual meetings held in...
Research Briefing
African purchasing managers' index (PMI) readings for Q3 2022 reflect economic weakness on the continent and we expect GDP data...
Research Briefing
The MENA region is a key player in the energy sector as a large producer of oil and gas, but...
Research Briefing
We have expanded our climate transmission channels on the Global Economic Model to include more sub-Saharan African economies. Through scenario...
Research Briefing
Africa is disproportionately affected by climate change. It accounts for only 3% of global greenhouse gas emissions, in contrast to...
Research Briefing
Africa's most important contribution to combating climate change will not be by foregoing the exploitation of its hydrocarbons resources. Rather,...
Research Briefing
Africa’s greatest potential asset is its youth – the population of those younger than 25 years is set to more...
Research Briefing
We have raised our inflation forecast for the GCC to average 3.2% this year, up from our projection of 2.8%...
Research Briefing
The ground has shifted and cheap budget funding in frontier markets is a thing of the past. In the current...
Research Briefing
The global economic environment has shifted with international price inflation surging, monetary conditions being aggressively tightened, and a number of...
Research Briefing
The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is highly vulnerable to physical and climate transition risks, with water scarcity,...
Research Briefing
Inflationary pressures continue to build, with input costs rising at a rapid pace. The economic landscape is also constantly shifting:...
Research Briefing
Higher international food prices will have a more aggressive impact on African CPI readings than those in advanced economies. This...
Research Briefing
The Russia-Ukraine war is set to have serious implications for wheat supply and food stability in Africa. Despite efforts by...
Research Briefing
The GCC countries have entered a period of higher interest rates - their US$ currency pegs mean regional central banks...
Research Briefing
Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the evolving global response will be felt in the MENA economies mainly via the impact...
Research Briefing
Turkey will take a hit from the Russian invasion of Ukraine through three main channels – tourism, energy prices and...
