Research Briefing
We have expanded our climate transmission channels on the Global Economic Model to include more sub-Saharan African economies. Through scenario...
Macroeconomics
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Research Briefing
We estimate consumer spending in the eurozone increased by 0.8% q/q in Q2, despite persistent elevated inflation denting real incomes...
Research Briefing
In early August, Russia's Gazprom refused to accept a Siemens' turbine used in Nord Stream 1, citing technical issues. Gazprom...
Research Briefing
The Danish economy surprised to the upside in Q2, expanding by 0.7% q/q. This showing raised our 2022 GDP growth...
Research Briefing
As European inflation reaches record levels, the impact varies across cities and regions. We estimate that most large European cities...
Research Briefing
Supply-chain conditions in the US offered encouraging signs to start Q3, according to our supply chain tracker. Inflationary pressures ebbed...
Research Briefing
As expected, the FOMC delivered its second consecutive 75bps rate hike, lifting the target range for the federal funds rate...
Research Briefing
There are five days to go until Kenya's high-stakes elections on August 9. All eyes are on the presidential vote,...
Research Briefing
The BoE today announced a 50bp rise in Bank Rate to 1.75%, despite publishing a forecast that suggests the UK...
Research Briefing
Africa is disproportionately affected by climate change. It accounts for only 3% of global greenhouse gas emissions, in contrast to...
Research Briefing
Higher inflation and weaker external demand as Europe battles with energy shortages have led us to lower our Norwegian mainland...
Research Briefing
The resignation of Prime Minister Mario Draghi is going to leave a policy vacuum in Italy. Snap elections are now...
Research Briefing
The ECB's decision to hike rates, abandon forward guidance and introduce an anti-fragmentation tool appear to reflect a balancing act...
Research Briefing
Despite a better start to 2022 than previously estimated, we have kept our forecast for this year unchanged due to...
Research Briefing
We have cut our 2022 GDP growth forecast for Denmark by 0.7ppts to 3.1% to reflect the prospect of energy...
Research Briefing
Global economic uncertainty remains elevated, despite an easing in concerns about the fallout from war. Evidence suggests risks to growth...
Research Briefing
Africa's most important contribution to combating climate change will not be by foregoing the exploitation of its hydrocarbons resources. Rather,...
Research Briefing
Asian cities are facing several challenges to economic growth, including the slowdown of the Chinese economy, supply chain problems, and...
Research Briefing
The eurozone's labour market has outperformed expectations since the start of the pandemic, but current headwinds to economic growth are...
Research Briefing
Africa’s greatest potential asset is its youth – the population of those younger than 25 years is set to more...
