Research Briefing
We expect above-average growth in the eurozone over the coming quarters given the ample pent-up demand in the aftermath of...
Inflation
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 681 results
Research Briefing
At the September policy meeting, the CBR is likely to consider staying on hold or hiking its policy rate 25bp...
Research Briefing
Profitability has staged an impressive recovery, but the rise in Q1 operating margins to a 12-year high materially overstates corporate...
Research Briefing
There’s a close race as the Bank of Canada weighs sticking with its successful flexible inflation targeting (FIT) or switching...
Research Briefing
Retail sales fell sharply in July, but we don’t see this as a reason to turn bearish on the consumer...
Research Briefing
July’s fall in inflation is likely to represent only brief respite for consumers. After a larger than expected rise in...
Research Briefing
Inventories – normally a strong predictor of the business cycle – are uncharacteristically low, even though global growth is at...
Research Briefing
Headline CPI inflation rose 5.4% y/y in July 2021, but regional inflation is uneven, with prices up 5.9% y/y in...
Research Briefing
Saudi Arabia’s GDP rose 1.5% y/y in Q2 according to the flash estimate. This was mainly driven by a boost...
Research Briefing
Headline CPI inflation in Canada was up 3.1% y/y in June, and we expect that a transient release of pent-up...
Research Briefing
The PMIs for Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar all remained in expansionaryterritory in July at 55.8, 54.0 and 52.2...
Research Briefing
We now expect the long-run nominal neutral policy rate – i.e., the rate at which the economy is in equilibrium...
Although the structural drags on inflation in commodity prices will remain post-COVID, short-term cyclical factors have risen sharply in recent...
Research Briefing
The August 12 national elections could mark a key turning point for Zambia’s future. Deteriorating economic conditions have left President...
Research Briefing
Elevated inflation is giving policymakers in Central and Eastern Europe headaches. Two of the regions’ outperformers, Poland and Hungary, are...
Research Briefing
Eurozone inflation is set to push above the ECB’s 2% target for the first time since 2018. But we think...
Research Briefing
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has played a key role in leading India’s pandemic policy response. While elevated inflation...
Research Briefing
Amid deadlock within OPEC+, speculation is rising that Saudi Arabia and the UAE have reached a compromise over production quotas,...
Research Briefing
Another upside inflation surprise points to the CPI measure peaking much higher than we previously thought. But June’s rise in...
Commodity price surges were associated with spikes in inflation in the 1970s, but have not been so in recent decades....
