Research Briefing
Inflation in the UK is set to peak higher for longer than we previously expected. But structural factors plus the...
Inflation
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 686 results
Research Briefing
The global economic outlook appears to be deteriorating, according to our quarterly review of alternative measures of economic risk. Most...
Research Briefing
The surge in European gas and electricity prices over recent months pushed energy prices to an all-time high in August,...
Research Briefing
The recent broad-based rises in core inflation across a range of advanced economies has reopened the debate as to whether...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan left monetary policy unchanged at today’s meeting, maintaining short-term and long-term interest rates at current levels....
Research Briefing
We expect above-average growth in the eurozone over the coming quarters given the ample pent-up demand in the aftermath of...
Research Briefing
At the September policy meeting, the CBR is likely to consider staying on hold or hiking its policy rate 25bp...
Research Briefing
Profitability has staged an impressive recovery, but the rise in Q1 operating margins to a 12-year high materially overstates corporate...
Research Briefing
There’s a close race as the Bank of Canada weighs sticking with its successful flexible inflation targeting (FIT) or switching...
Research Briefing
Retail sales fell sharply in July, but we don’t see this as a reason to turn bearish on the consumer...
Research Briefing
July’s fall in inflation is likely to represent only brief respite for consumers. After a larger than expected rise in...
Research Briefing
Inventories – normally a strong predictor of the business cycle – are uncharacteristically low, even though global growth is at...
Research Briefing
Headline CPI inflation rose 5.4% y/y in July 2021, but regional inflation is uneven, with prices up 5.9% y/y in...
Research Briefing
Saudi Arabia’s GDP rose 1.5% y/y in Q2 according to the flash estimate. This was mainly driven by a boost...
Research Briefing
Headline CPI inflation in Canada was up 3.1% y/y in June, and we expect that a transient release of pent-up...
Research Briefing
The PMIs for Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar all remained in expansionaryterritory in July at 55.8, 54.0 and 52.2...
Research Briefing
We now expect the long-run nominal neutral policy rate – i.e., the rate at which the economy is in equilibrium...
Although the structural drags on inflation in commodity prices will remain post-COVID, short-term cyclical factors have risen sharply in recent...
Research Briefing
The August 12 national elections could mark a key turning point for Zambia’s future. Deteriorating economic conditions have left President...
Research Briefing
Elevated inflation is giving policymakers in Central and Eastern Europe headaches. Two of the regions’ outperformers, Poland and Hungary, are...
