Research Briefing
The minutes from the July ECB meeting, when the bank ended the period of the negative interest rates in the...
Research Briefing
The minutes from the July ECB meeting, when the bank ended the period of the negative interest rates in the...
Research Briefing
The Norway mainland GDP forecast has been raised 0.5ppts to 3% following a slight growth surprise in Q2 and a...
Our modelling suggests incorporating owner-occupied housing costs would lower eurozone headline inflation from Q3 2022 by 0.3ppts, with negative contributions...
Research Briefing
We have cut our 2023 GDP growth forecast for Finland by 0.3ppts to 0.5%. Although growth in Q2 remained resilient...
Research Briefing
We have increased our 2022 GDP growth forecast for Sweden by 0.4ppts to 2.4%, as growth in Q2 surprised on...
Research Briefing
We estimate consumer spending in the eurozone increased by 0.8% q/q in Q2, despite persistent elevated inflation denting real incomes...
Research Briefing
The Danish economy surprised to the upside in Q2, expanding by 0.7% q/q. This showing raised our 2022 GDP growth...
Research Briefing
As European inflation reaches record levels, the impact varies across cities and regions. We estimate that most large European cities...
Research Briefing
As expected, the FOMC delivered its second consecutive 75bps rate hike, lifting the target range for the federal funds rate...
Research Briefing
Inflation is sufficiently elevated globally that even a month without any increase in prices still leaves inflation in most economies...
Research Briefing
The BoE today announced a 50bp rise in Bank Rate to 1.75%, despite publishing a forecast that suggests the UK...
Research Briefing
Higher inflation and weaker external demand as Europe battles with energy shortages have led us to lower our Norwegian mainland...
Research Briefing
The ECB's decision to hike rates, abandon forward guidance and introduce an anti-fragmentation tool appear to reflect a balancing act...
Research Briefing
Despite a better start to 2022 than previously estimated, we have kept our forecast for this year unchanged due to...
Research Briefing
We have kept our growth forecast for Sweden in 2022 largely unchanged but lowered it for next year to 1.6%...
Research Briefing
2022 is proving to be a very disappointing year for global GDP growth, with risks that the outlook could worsen....
Research Briefing
Housing affordability deteriorated in Q1 2022 in both the US and Canada, according to our updated Housing Affordability Indices. Income...
Research Briefing
We have cut our 2022 GDP growth forecast for Denmark by 0.7ppts to 3.1% to reflect the prospect of energy...
Research Briefing
Increased borrowing costs are raising corporate default fears in the US, but we believe higher interest rates alone won't be...
Research Briefing
Supply chain dynamics improved for the third straight month in June, according to our tracker. Pressures eased most on the...