Research Briefing
We expect eurozone services prices to continue to rise sharply over the summer as the sector's recovery progresses. The ECB...
Research Briefing
We expect eurozone services prices to continue to rise sharply over the summer as the sector's recovery progresses. The ECB...
Research Briefing
Recession risks are mounting globally, including in the eurozone. Growing recession fears have resulted in large drops in oil prices...
Research Briefing
Surging inflation across Europe has led us to lower the outlook for real growth in consumer spending this year, although...
Research Briefing
Memories of the inflationary tsunami that hit the UK in the 1970s have been rekindled by inflation surging to a...
Research Briefing
We have raised our inflation forecast for the GCC to average 3.2% this year, up from our projection of 2.8%...
Research Briefing
Central banks have changed the way they react to economic conditions, largely focussing on current inflation and its impact on...
Research Briefing
The ground has shifted and cheap budget funding in frontier markets is a thing of the past. In the current...
Research Briefing
The global economic environment has shifted with international price inflation surging, monetary conditions being aggressively tightened, and a number of...
Research Briefing
As expected, the ECB council agreed to end the era of nonstandard monetary policy measures by September as it gears...
Research Briefing
Despite headwinds to the eurozone economy, the tourism sector continues to shine bright. Our high-frequency Tourism Tracker suggests overnight stays...
Research Briefing
The big concern about inflation is no longer the level at which it will peak, but where it will settle...
Research Briefing
What’s the future for inflation? Joachim Nagel, the new president of Germany's central bank, believes the rapidly ageing global population...
Research Briefing
Along with energy prices, global food prices have emerged as a key driver of the eurozone's current inflationary surge. Like...
Research Briefing
The minutes from the April ECB meeting confirm the hawkish tilt initiated a few months ago continues to gain momentum....
Research Briefing
We have revised our 2022 eurozone inflation forecasts sharply higher, to 6.0%, since the start of the Ukraine war, as...
Research Briefing
Inflationary pressures continue to build, with input costs rising at a rapid pace. The economic landscape is also constantly shifting:...
Research Briefing
Growth risks for the eurozone economy are leaning to the downside, according to our analysis. Our business cycle indicator and...
Research Briefing
The EU has approved a joint proposal from Spain and Portugal to cap gas prices used in electricity generation. The...
Research Briefing
The minutes from the March ECB meeting showed that inflation continued to dominate Governing Council's discussions. The body remains split,...
Research Briefing
Russia's GDP is unlikely to return to pre-crisis levels until the early 2030s, according to our modelling. We expect Russia's...