With the American Rescue Plan, US President Biden is implementing a stimulus program of historic proportions. Coming on top of...
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Research Briefing
Côte d'Ivoire managed to stave off the worst effects of the Covid-19 pandemic as the country successfully avoided a recession...
Research Briefing
Spend, save, and pay down debt – that’s exactly what US consumers did in early 2021. This supported a 14ppts...
Research Briefing
The Canadian economy will get a significant fiscal stimulus boost as it emerges from the coronavirus crisis. We see the...
Research Briefing
Saudi GDP fell 3.3% y/y in Q1 according to flash estimates, slightly weaker than we had expected. The decline was...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker rose 0.2ppts to 91.1 in the week ending April 30, recouping its losses from the week...
Research Briefing
Many Pacific, South West & Mountain area metros suffered minimal losses in 2020. We expect them to see healthy growth...
Research Briefing
Despite Covid cases rising globally, upside risks to our already relatively optimistic baseline are material. The main risk stems from...
Research Briefing
Climate change is an increasingly important issue in the GCC region and is receiving a sharper focus in growth and...
Research Briefing
Recent survey and high-frequency data have boosted hopes that the economy is in the early stages of a strong rebound...
Research Briefing
Reflecting recent positive developments, we think the MPC will vote unanimously to keep policy on hold in its May meeting. It...
Research Briefing
The budget deficit blew out in FY20 and will widen further in FY21 due to thegovernment’s efforts to cushion the...
Research Briefing
According to our pandemic-impact scorecard, EMs on average have been most afflicted, followed by frontier markets, with advanced economies suffering...
Research Briefing
Tracker data suggests that growth across the ASEAN bloc improved to a 1.5% y/y contraction in February following a 2.9%...
Research Briefing
Egypt has proven to have one of the most resilient emerging market economies on the globe in the face of...
Research Briefing
Could fiscal stimulus lead to economic overheating? Our assessment suggests that while that’s a risk, it’s not a foregone conclusion,...
Research Briefing
PMIs for March remained in positive territory across the GCC but showed nonoil growth at a varying pace in the...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker rose 1.1ppts to 87 in the week ended March 19 on broad-based gains across five of...
Despite a partial recovery in H2 2020, Canada’s GDP contracted by 5.4% last year with a secondary wave of COVID-19...
Research Briefing
After an extraordinary downturn across Asian city economies in 2020 we expect a broad return to growth in 2021. But...
