Blog|3 July 2024 Risks in our Q2 IFRS 9 and CECL scenarios more evenly spread reflecting monetary policy and geopolitical...
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Every year, the Conference of the Parties on Climate Change captures the world's attention for a few weeks as government,...
Research Briefing
US authorities appear to have contained the fallout from the collapse of two regional banks – Silicon Valley Bank (SVB)...
Research Briefing
The Federal Reserve knows that their mission to tame inflation isn’t complete, and odds are rising that the central bank...
Research Briefing
We expect the MPC to raise Bank Rate at December's meeting. But recent UK developments, including calmer financial markets, a...
Research Briefing
Despite the recent deterioration in the UK housing market, we think the doomsday scenario set out in the Bank of...
Research Briefing
South Africa's detailed JET IP unveiled at COP27 offers a model for other carbon-intensive developing countries to follow. Although the...
Research Briefing
The precipitous decline of the Yen to record fresh lows (and briefly above 150 last month) coupled with a dramatic...
Research Briefing
The BoE raised Bank Rate by 75bps to 3% at its November meeting, in line with our expectations and market...
Research Briefing
UK government's U-turns on tax cuts, the prospect of further fiscal policy tightening, and calmer financial markets mean the Monetary...
Research Briefing
Central banks around the world are raising interest rates and shrinking balance sheets, but financial conditions are not under enough...
Research Briefing
Soaring debt costs across advanced economies threaten to push commercial real estate markets into distress. DM REITs are likely to...
Research Briefing
Debt costs continue to soar across advanced economies, threatening to push commercial real estate markets into distress. We believe that...
As spiralling energy prices threaten to cause huge pain for consumers and businesses, governments across Europe are rolling out initiatives...
Research Briefing
The September jobs data report and the August JOLTS offered some signs of a loosening in labor market conditions. Job...
Research Briefing
The question of debt restructuring is becoming a more pressing one: in recent weeks, a number of African sovereigns have...
Research Briefing
Lula da Silva (PT) won the first round of the presidential election with 48% of the votes. He is favourite...
Research Briefing
Ecuador is no longer on track towards meeting the criteria imposed on it by the IMF to keep its US$6.4bn...
Research Briefing
After several days of huge UK financial market volatility, the BoE intervened at the long end of the gilt market...
Research Briefing
We do not expect a long-lasting rebound in sterling (or gilts) anytime soon, given the lack of a credible fiscal...