Research Briefing
We still expect the Bank of England to cut Bank Rate by 25bps again in November, despite August's unexpectedly tight...
Economic outlook
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Research Briefing
The US economy has slowed and become bifurcated across consumers, the business environment and the labor market.
Research Briefing
The latest US tariffs are reshaping global trade patterns, hitting some cities harder than others. From Germany’s auto hubs to...
We built a forward-looking framework for analyzing how US tariffs achieve or undermine the various goals touted by policymakers.
Executive Summary
RePORT Labour tight, but purse strings tighter in Australia Economic Outlook Improves Slightly Amid Job Strength and Supportive Exports, But...
Consulting Report
Oxford Economics Australia delivered an independent economic impact assessment for Uber Eats, quantifying additional revenue for restaurants, GDP contribution, and...
Oxford Economics Australia provided Babcock with a comprehensive, independent analysis quantifying its total GDP, employment, tax, and socio-economic contributions across...
Tariffs spark uncertainty in the global industrial sector, raising recession risks. What’s next for businesses? Discover insights from Oxford Economics.
Surging crude oil price from Iran-Israel conflict puts global GDP at risk. Is the world economy on the edge of...
Research Briefing
Explore the latest insights on Australia's economic forecast. Discover why growth has stalled and what the future holds for GDP...
Research Briefing
The reshoring of US manufacturing, a key Trump administration policy objective, seems likely to continue despite the uncertain future of...
Research Briefing
For the first time this year, our global industrial production outlook for 2025 has been upgraded. However, we still anticipate...
Research Briefing
Our revamped modelling shows that a recession is not imminent for the Eurozone and the big four despite the extreme...
Executive Summary
This quarter’s scenarios quantify key risks to the global economy. These relate primarily to trade protectionism and other geopolitical tensions,...
Research Briefing
The economic costs of the 50% tariffs to the Eurozone could amount to 0.3%–1.0% of the Eurozone’s GDP by the...
Research Briefing
The Eurozone's recession risks remain elevated—possibly higher than those in the US—as its economic expansion is more fragile.
The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region concluded an eventful week as Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE hosted President Trump...
Research Briefing
We expect the peak economic drag for China from the exogenous demand shock generated by higher tariffs to occur in...
Research Briefing
GDP growth likely to be revised up but will remain weaker than assumed prior to Liberation Day.
Research Briefing
We appear to be witnessing the beginning of a new global economic and market paradigm. We expect five key trends...
