Research Briefing | Feb 14, 2022

Data confirms modest hit from Omicron in the UK

UK Data confirms modest hit from Omicron
The net economic effect of Omicron – a blow to social consumption but a boost to health output from testing and vaccinations – resulted in only a modest 0.2% fall in GDP in December.

What you will learn:

  • Retail and hospitality, two parts of the economy particularly exposed to greater consumer hesitancy in the face of rising infections, made the biggest contributions to the drop in GDP.
  • Timelier high-frequency data have pointed to social consumption activity rebounding in recent weeks.
  • But as one headwind recedes, growing cost of living pressures will weigh on growth this year.
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