Ukraine and Russia’s red lines are far apart, undermining peace and recovery prospects
We assess the likelihood of war and ceasefire given our views on the fundamental incentives of Ukraine and Russia under President Trump’s administration. We explain why we still attach a 50% probability to not ceasefire in 2025.
This webinar is now on-demand and is held on our new platform, ON24. Please check your junk and spam folders for your confirmation email.

Evghenia Sleptsova
Senior EM Economist
+44 (0) 203 910 8022

Evghenia Sleptsova
Senior EM Economist
London, United Kingdom
Evghenia is part of the Global Emerging Markets Research team, where she manages the workflow on our global risk frameworks – Sovereign, currency and banking sector risk tools, and covers Ukraine as a macroeconomist. Evghenia has over 15 years of research and consulting experience in macroeconomics, country and sovereign risk analysis and international trade. In her earlier career, she covered Russia, CIS and CEE, as well as global risk products. Evghenia worked at Roubini Global Economics, London, at KPMG and European Commission Delegation (Moldova), and Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting (Ukraine).

Tatiana Orlova
Lead Economist, Emerging Markets
+44 (0) 20 3910 8048

Tatiana Orlova
Lead Economist, Emerging Markets
London, United Kingdom
Tatiana joined OE in May 2021. From 2017 to 2021, she ran her own macroeconomic research boutique, Emerginomics, as the Founder and Chief Economist, specializing in coverage of selected ex-USSR economies.
From 2012 to 2016, she worked as Director in CEEMEA Research at the Royal Bank of Scotland. Previously, she was employed as an emerging market economist in three other major investment banks (Credit Suisse, ING, and Nomura).
Tatiana holds an MSc in Economics from the LSE (2001) and Diploma in Economics with Distinction from the LSE (2000). From 1988 to 1994, she studied Applied Mathematics at the Moscow University of Electronics and Mathematics.
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