Research Briefing
The Federal Reserve is considering a balance sheet reduction, facing challenges that could impact financial stability and funding markets.
Research Briefing
The Federal Reserve is considering a balance sheet reduction, facing challenges that could impact financial stability and funding markets.
Research Briefing
Market stability is affected by ongoing geopolitical tensions and fluctuating oil prices. Key economic indicators are on the horizon, influencing...
Research Briefing
Treasury yields may steepen after Middle East tensions ease, but persistent inflation and structural pressures could keep long-term rates elevated.
The BoJ is edging toward another rate hike—but timing is everything. Inflation is rising, the yen is weakening, and global...
The world’s most comprehensive model for economic forecasting and scenario analysis.
Research Briefing
Private credit risks are rising, but limited spillovers and lower leverage reduce the threat to broader financial stability.
Treasury yields declined and risk sentiment improved as ceasefire hopes lifted markets, but uncertainty around Iran talks persists. Can this...
Our survey of more than 500 C-suite executives at financial services firms around the globe, reveals the tension between pursuing...
Consulting Report
More than 500 C‑suite executives across banks, asset managers, asset owners, and other financial institutions took part in a global...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy rate at 0.75% at its March meeting. We now project the central...
The costs of artificial intelligence misuse and malfunction are real and growing, but nobody knows the total scope—or the true...
Consulting Report
The UK Industrial Strategy and National Infrastructure Pipeline have set out the UK government’s roadmap for growing a modern economy...
Consulting Report
The rapid deployment of generative and agentic AI in the financial services sector is expanding the scope of AI systems,...
マクロ経済環境の構造変化に伴って株と債券など資産間の相関が不安定化しており、アセットクラス毎の配分をベースとした従来のポートフォリオ理論は充分に機能していません。 本セミナーでは、こうした弱点を補う新たな手法として、マクロ経済調査会社である当社が独自の経済分析・予測に基づいて提供するトータル・ポートフォリオ・アプローチ(OE TPA)をご紹介します。 OE TPAでは、各種アセットクラスに影響を与える共通因子である12のリスクプレミアムファクターを識別したうえで、変化するマクロ経済レジームに応じて統合的なポートフォリオの最適化を目指します。
Research Briefing
While Kevin Warsh, the Trump administration's nominee for Federal Reserve chair, was a more hawkish member of the Federal Open...
Research Briefing
The ruling Liberal Democratic Party's (LDP) landslide election victory on Sunday doesn't change our expectation of a primary fiscal deficit...
Recent developments such as rising US isolationism and the AI investment boom could materially change long-term growth prospects. In this...
Research Briefing
In our upcoming February forecast update, we'll stick to our expectation of a primary fiscal deficit of 2%-3% of GDP...
Research Briefing
Despite the new government's 2026 budget being slightly more timid than anticipated, we don't plan major changes to our outlook....
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy rate at 0.75% at its January meeting. Although our current baseline expects...