Webinar

Canada Mid-year Outlook: At a fork in the road

18 June 2026 – 11.00am EST (New York)

online

Canada’s economy stands at a genuine inflection point.

The outlook for H2 and into 2027 hinges on forces largely beyond Canada’s control – a favourable USMCA review, resolution of the US-Iran conflict, and open Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes – none of which are assured. A building fiscal impulse and modestly accommodative monetary policy will help cushion the blow to demand from a shrinking population, but persistent headwinds from high household debt, stretched housing valuations, subdued business investment, and weak productivity will continue to weigh on the economy. Join us as we assess what this may mean for Canada’s path ahead.

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Speakers

Tony Stillo

Tony Stillo is the Director of Canada Economics at Oxford Economics. He leads the team responsible for preparing the macroeconomic forecast for Canada using Oxford Economics’ Global Economic Model, reporting on key data releases, as well as producing and presenting research on key issues affecting the Canadian economy. Prior to joining Oxford Economics in 2018, Tony spent much of his career at the Ontario Ministry of Finance where he most recently led a team responsible for economic modelling, forecasting and impact analysis.

Director of Canada Economics

Michael Davenport

Michael is a Senior Economist with a particular focus on the Canadian economy. He primarily supports the Director of Canada Economics in producing macroeconomic research and forecasts, monitoring the Canadian economy, and liaising with clients and the media.

Michael first joined Oxford Economics Canada as an Economic Research Analyst Intern in the Toronto office in early 2019 and has since been promoted to a Senior Economist. Michael holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics and Financial Management from Wilfrid Laurier University and a Master of Arts in Economics from the University of Toronto.

Senior Economist, Canada