Research Briefing | Jan 10, 2022

US supply chain remained strained at year end

Ipad Frame - US Supply chain remained strained at year end-1

Our US supply-chain stress tracker offers some encouraging news to kick off the new year. Pressures on the inventory front diminished in December, albeit modestly. However, logistics bottlenecks remained – despite improvement on the surface in our transportation tracker measure. Meanwhile, stress rose on the activity, price, and labour fronts. The Omicron variant threatens to jam the economy’s gears, intensifying already severe supply-chain problems.

What you will learn:

  • The impact on congestion of a new policy for Los Angeles and Long Beach requiring inbound ships to wait further offshore for an open berth
  • Inflation rate changes in December for durables manufacturing, wholesale services, and raw materials
  • How higher capacity utilisation rates, stronger shipments and forward-looking orders data will impact excess capacity as strong demand persists into 2022.

Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

construction site

Post

Firms must brace for higher ‘new normal’ construction material prices

New research by Oxford Economics suggests that construction materials prices have shifted permanently higher due to the shocks of the past couple of years. Project managers and investors should anticipate costs being at least 15-20% higher in 2024 and onwards than in 2021.

Find Out More

Post

New Activity Trackers suggest momentum is waning

After a choppy first quarter of GDP data, our novel Activity Trackers (which incorporate proprietary daily sentiment data from Penta) suggest that economic momentum in EM Asia is on a softer trend in Q2 (at least outside of China) supporting our view of easing underlying inflationary pressures and diminishing appetite for further rate hikes.

Find Out More