Research Briefing | Aug 31, 2021

Australia | The pandemic shake up of Australia’s population

Copy of Ipad Frame (42)

The closure of the international border has caused net overseas migration (NOM) to crash during the pandemic, significantly slowing population growth for all states. With the greatest exposure to NOM pre-pandemic, Sydney and Melbourne continue to incur the brunt of this shock. The recent Delta variant outbreak and the subsequent halving of Australia’s arrival cap in July 2021 will act as a further drag on NOM over Q3 and Q4 2021. Beyond this point the outlook remains mostly unchanged, with the border gradually reopening from mid-2022.
What you will learn:

  • The pandemic has resulted in a rapid slowing of population growth across Australia due to the collapse of overseas migration. Domestic migration flows are undergoing a period of change, favouring regional locations.
  • We expect this internal population shift to continue, holding up regional population growth. Recurring outbreaks in Sydney and Melbourne are likely to solidify this trend near term.
  • Further analysis on Australia’s population growth rate by state. 
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Post

Capital catalysts – Funding development when budgets are tight in Africa

In this presentation deck, we grappled with some of the Africa’s most pressing issues for 2024 and beyond. We explored Africa’s alternative funding strategies during challenging times, examined the continent’s growth hotspot, and unpacked South Africa’s political economy in the lead up to the general elections in 2024.

Find Out More
Apac key themes

Post

APAC Key themes 2024 – A year of living cautiously

In 2024, the main influence on Asia is likely to be a global slowdown, particularly in China and the US. Moreover, governments have limited policy space to deal with these headwinds. Other negative influences, however, are set to ease further, including domestic inflation, external pressure on interest rates, and softening semiconductor prices. Overall, we expect a bumpy year as issues become more country-specific and policy responses and economic outcomes diverge.

Find Out More