Research Briefing
RESEARCH BRIEFING Shipping in for the long haul of Middle East conflict Uneven trade disruptions emerge as energy spikes immediately...
Tariffs
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While the fundamentals for global industrial growth have remained relatively constant, downside risks have notably risen.
Research Briefing
The White House has pivoted to a new tariff authority to impose a 10% global duty, with the possibility of...
The Supreme court ruling on tariffs lowers the effective tariff rate down sharply. In this report, we discuss its implications.
Research Briefing
The odds of our baseline view of most US tariffs on Canada and Mexico being removed by mid-2026 are decreasing....
Research Briefing
Global tradeflows remain under pressure despite easing tariff tensions. Recent US–China agreements reduce select import taxes and support China’s 2026...
Research Briefing
Trade disruptions spread across autos and pharma sectors, with EU tariff exemptions giving Europe a competitive edge amid global slowdown.
China's exports have adapted, rather than retreated, under higher US tariffs. It will be difficult for businesses and consumers to...
Using sectoral production data from Oxford’s Global Industry Service, we have been able to quantify which countries and sectors have...
Research Briefing
Leading cities like London, New York, and San Jose are thriving through technology, knowledge industries, and demographic advantages. As global...
Australia’s construction sector is entering a defining decade. At the Australian Construction Outlook Conference 2025, Oxford Economics Australia explored the...
Blog
Economic Outlook Conference 2025 brought together business leaders and policymakers in Sydney & Melbourne where Oxford Economics Australia shared key...
Research Briefing
The Eurozone economy has held up against geopolitical challenges but faces lacklustre growth in the near term, with global demand...
Executive Summary
This quarter’s scenarios quantify key risks to the global economy. These relate primarily to trade protectionism and other geopolitical tensions,...
Research Briefing
We expect the US economy to slow in 2026 but sidestep recession, with AI investment providing key support. How will...
Research Briefing
The US has seen short-term gains from higher tariffs, with markets steady and growth holding up. But investment weakness, rising...
Research Briefing
In 2026, we anticipate global industrial value-added output to grow just 1.9%, the slowest pace of growth since the global...
Research Briefing
The global economy faces its weakest expansion since 2009 (ex-2020) as US tariffs and fiscal policy shifts weigh on investment...
Research Briefing
Our current estimate of the US statutory tariff rate exceeds the effective rate implied by the duty calculated by the...
Research Briefing
Explore the impact of the August 1 tariff package on global trade. Discover how exemptions affect effective rates and the...
