Research Briefing
Africa has, once again, taken centre stage as countries vie for the top spot. The playing field has shifted slightly,...
Russia
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Research Briefing
A ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia would provide a modest boost to EU economies, mainly due to higher military spending...
Research Briefing
Related topics Excellence in commodity forecast accuracy: A World Bank Group assessment A recent assessment by the World Bank Group...
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast is for world food commodity prices to register an annual decline this year, in aggregate, reducing pressure...
Households have been grappling with sharply higher food bills over the past couple of years because of rocketing agricultural commodity...
South Africa's preparations for the 15th Brics Summit in August, which the country is hosting, have been overshadowed by the...
Research Briefing
Business perceptions of the key threats to the global economy have shifted significantly, based on our latest Global Risk Survey....
Research Briefing
Following the failed coup in Russia over the weekend, we will not change our forecasts for GDP nor make significant changes to our commodity price forecasts. However, it highlights the...
As China finally becomes the last major economy to dismantle its Zero Covid restrictions and fully opens its borders, governments...
There is a scramble for African critical minerals amid the ‘New Cold War’ brewing between the US and China.
The late December announcement of China’s intention to re-open its borders for travel took the international community by surprise, with...
Research Briefing
We expect Italy to avoid gas rationing this winter and next, with our key scenario showing that at the end...
Research Briefing
In a tough global environment, we are below consensus on advanced economy growth and anticipate most will fall into recession...
Research Briefing
Following the loss of Russian pipeline gas, European countries have increasingly focused on LNG shipments as a replacement, giving Europe...
Research Briefing
The G7 and the European Union (EU) hope to keep Russian oil exports on the market and prevent global oil...
Research Briefing
We anticipate most advanced economies will fall into recession in 2023 and global growth will be weaker than the consensus...
Research Briefing
After nine months of devastating war, we expect Ukraine's economic contraction to reach 31% in 2022. Prompt monetary and fiscal policy responses and $23bn of external financing have prevented a much deeper contraction.
Research Briefing
As Russia's war in Ukraine enters a new phase, so does the economic crisis. Based on my conversations with locals...
Consulting Report
Europe enjoyed a strong tourism rebound over the summer months as Covid-19 disruptions abated. However, the region was not exempt...
Research Briefing
Russia’s shutdown of natural gas flows to Europe has resulted in skyrocketing regional prices. This has contributed to a significant...
