Research Briefing | Aug 1, 2023

Businesses now see geopolitical tensions as key global threat

Our Q3 2023 Global Risk Survey confirms that businesses’ perceptions of risks to the global economy have shifted significantly.

Geopolitical tensions – for example, related to Taiwan, Korea, and Russia-NATO – are now believed to pose the greatest risk to the global economy in both the near term and medium term. Banking system concerns have eased but remain elevated.

While businesses continue to see high inflation expectations as a significant near-term risk, they appear more confident that inflation will eventually moderate. Expected inflation over the medium term has fallen significantly, unwinding the rises seen over the past two years.

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