Research Briefing
Using our Global Industry Model, we have modelled the sectoral impacts of two scenarios in which former President Donald Trump returns to the...
Research Briefing
Using our Global Industry Model, we have modelled the sectoral impacts of two scenarios in which former President Donald Trump returns to the...
The outcome of the presidential and congressional elections this November will be pivotal for the outlook in 2025 and beyond....
Research Briefing
We expect a continuity of AMLO's policies, but Sheinbaum's ability to pass constitutional reforms with a supermajority in Congress and...
Research Briefing
We will retain our below-consensus 2024 GDP growth forecast of 1.9% for Mexico irrespective of the presidential election results on...
Research Briefing
This Research Briefing provides an overview of the most consequential elections being run in Africa this year: South Africa's general...
After a tighter-than-expected runoff on October 30, Lula da Silva (PT) was elected president of Brazil for a third time....
Research Briefing
Brazil's October presidential election will likely be decided in a runoff between two arch-rivals: the far-right Jair Bolsonaro and left-wing...
Research Briefing
There are five days to go until Kenya's high-stakes elections on August 9. All eyes are on the presidential vote,...
Research Briefing
The year of 2021 was significant for South Africa. It was marked by the largest civil unrest since the end...
Research Briefing
The SPD, FDP and Green party have struck a deal to form the next German government, which should be in...
Research Briefing
Chileans go to the polls on November 21, in a polarised election that will decide its full lower house, more...
Gregory Daco, Chief US Economist at Oxford Economics outlines the economic outlook under President-elect Biden.
Despite slowing US economic momentum, a worsening health situation, and recent election uncertainty, the policy outlook carries upside risks for...