Despite another shift in the Covid-19 situation across Europe, national governments have largely resisted imposing new lockdowns, and our short-term...
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Research Briefing
The surge in European gas and electricity prices over recent months pushed energy prices to an all-time high in August,...
Research Briefing
Asia’s economic performance over the next six to nine months will continue to be hugely influenced by developments in the...
Research Briefing
Notwithstanding Covid-related risks, we expect Asian currencies will show resilience in the face of tighter US monetary policy, particularly when...
Research Briefing
The role of the RMB is greatest where China is a major destination for manufacturing exports, suggesting that the degree...
Research Briefing
We’ve raised our 2021 GDP growth forecast by 0.2ppts to 3.4%, following the full release of the Q2 national accounts....
Research Briefing
Growth was confirmed at 0.9% in Q2, driven by domestic demand while net exports were a drag. The monthly GDP...
Research Briefing
Recent political shifts have increased the odds of Germany loosening its tight national fiscal rules after the September elections, which...
Research Briefing
We expect above-average growth in the eurozone over the coming quarters given the ample pent-up demand in the aftermath of...
Research Briefing
Our ASEAN-6 growth tracker, which includes Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, Singapore, and Vietnam, points to a weak start to...
Research Briefing
Turkey’s economy posted growth of 0.9% q/q in Q2. The better result than our forecast of a 0.6% q/q decline...
Research Briefing
The Egyptian economy has proven resilient in the face of the Covid-19 pandemic, but more recent PMI figures suggest that...
Research Briefing
We now expect the long-run nominal neutral policy rate – i.e., the rate at which the economy is in equilibrium...
Research Briefing
Following record declines in 2020, we forecast strong 6.1% pa APAC GDP growth over the next two years. Nonetheless, the...
Research Briefing
Progress in passing the Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB) and official adoption of the Nafex rate are two significant policy steps...
Research Briefing
We expect the more transmissible Delta coronavirus variant will have a much lower impact on European economies than previous waves,...
Research Briefing
A string of new Covid-19 outbreaks is weighing on the APAC region’s economic recovery. Among Asia’s developed economies, the case...
Research Briefing
Due to ongoing pandemic-related spending needs, we now expect Indonesia’s fiscal deficit will narrow to 3% of GDP only by...
With a second surge of COVID in April, Canada sustained a longer lockdown than the US. GDP climbed 1.4% in...
Research Briefing
Coronavirus and subsequent containment measures have weighed heavily on the economies of Europe’s major cities. However, the improving health situation,...
