Research Briefing | Aug 31, 2021

Country Insight: Egypt – August 2021

Ipad Frame-Africa-Country-Insight-Egypt-Aug-2021

The Egyptian economy has proven resilient in the face of the Covid-19 pandemic, but more recent PMI figures suggest that the recovery has since stagnated. The Delta variant has only recently been detected within Egypt’s borders, but the threat of a fourth wave of infections is real.

What you will learn from this report:

  • The rollout of vaccinations has slowed and sudden efforts to ramp up the vaccination campaign probably won’t stave off a fourth wave of infections, which is expected in September.
  • Consumer spending – which was already a key driver of economic growth in pre-pandemic times − has been supported by an accommodative monetary policy stance since the start of the pandemic.
  • The tourism sector is expected to reach 2019 levels by 2024, but a faster-than-expected rollout of the domestic and global inoculation drive could see adjustments to this outlook.
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Post

Nowcast shows wage growth slowing sharply

Our sentiment data, developed with Penta, suggests that UK private sector wage growth slowed sharply in March and early-April. If official data mirrors our sentiment indicator, it should keep the Monetary Policy Committee on track to cut interest rates in the summer.

Find Out More

Post

The euro and depreciation – shake, shake it off

Our new forecast assumes a slower euro appreciation against the dollar over the coming years than we previously anticipated. Relative productivity, terms of trade, and the current account will likely be less supportive of the euro than we thought. In addition, a stronger stock market than initially envisaged will attract more financial flows into the US than we had expected.

Find Out More