Research Briefing
Back to Resource Hub Research Briefing UK inflation set to peak higher and remain stickier We now see UK CPI...
Research Briefing
Back to Resource Hub Research Briefing UK inflation set to peak higher and remain stickier We now see UK CPI...
Research Briefing
The impact of a “limited” incursion by Russia into Ukraine would deal an unwelcome blow to the European economy via...
Research Briefing
The ECB's unexpectedly hawkish shift tone prompted a sizeable market reaction, with Italian 10-year bond yields rising 55bps, to 1.95%....
Research Briefing
Back to Resource Hub Research Briefing | Feb 14, 2022 Data confirms modest hit from Omicron in the UK The...
The February ECB meeting marked the beginning of a clear hawkish shift in the ECB’s policy outlook. Although the policy...
Research Briefing
Yesterday’s unexpected majority win for the Socialist Party paves the way for greater political stability in Portugal. This will simplify...
Research Briefing
Inflation prospects will again dominate the upcoming ECB meeting. We do not expect any clear policy signals or decisions given...
Research Briefing
In 2021, there were 16 Urban Economic Powerhouses in the world (cities with GDP greater than $500bn), but none were...
Research Briefing
The lifting of Covid restrictions on January 27 adds to hopes that the worst of the pandemic is in the...
Research Briefing
We have lowered our mainland 2022 GDP growth forecast by 0.1ppt to 4.2% to reflect the economic impact of the...
Research Briefing
Whether or not the MPC raises Bank Rate in February is close to a 50:50 call. We marginally favour a...
Research Briefing
Back to Resource Hub Research Briefing | Jan 27, 2022 Russia-Ukraine tensions: Asset market scenarios Despite tensions continuing to ratchet...
Research Briefing
Against a helpful macroeconomic background city economies will continue to recover in 2022.
Research Briefing
Though the scale of December’s fall in retail sales came as a nasty surprise, it was not simply an Omicron...
Research Briefing
Ukraine’s sovereign Eurobond yields soared since mid-November when US sources first reported a build-up of Russian troops along its eastern...
Research Briefing
After expanding strongly in Q2, global GDP growth slowed in Q3 in response to the Delta disruption and ongoing supply...
Research Briefing
Our new index of European real estate obsolescence finds that the Nordic countries have the lowest risk of obsolescence and...
Research Briefing
We’ve lowered our 2022 Danish GDP forecast 0.1ppt to 3%, with the Omicron variant expected to slow activity in Q1....
Research Briefing
We have kept our growth forecast for this year unchanged at 3.2%, as we expect the impact of the Omicron...
Research Briefing
A strong outturn for November took the output measure of GDP above its pre-pandemic peak. Given GDP is likely to...