Research Briefing
The 50 largest metros will narrowly avoid a recession in 2022 but half will not escape one in 2023. In...
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 532 results
Research Briefing
The impact of the lockdowns and Covid-19-related restrictions in China were severe in the second quarter of 2022. We have...
Research Briefing
We expect Canada to enter a recession in Q4 2022 and as a result, most metros including Toronto, Montreal, and...
Research Briefing
Our baseline economic outlook now assumes a mild US recession in the first half of 2023. Despite moderate improvement in...
Research Briefing
We continue to believe the global economy will narrowly avoid a recession, despite expecting the US, Canada, and most of...
Research Briefing
Odds of a downturn in Canada have just crossed a tipping point and we now expect a moderate recession starting...
Research Briefing
Brazil's October presidential election will likely be decided in a runoff between two arch-rivals: the far-right Jair Bolsonaro and left-wing...
Research Briefing
We expect a shallow but protracted recession in Finland from Q3 this year to Q1 2023, with a contraction of...
Research Briefing
Upward revisions to recent quarters have pushed up our Sweden growth forecast for 2022 to 3%. That said, we expect...
Research Briefing
We now expect Denmark to enter a shallow recession in Q3 this year, ending in Q1 2023, due to rising...
Research Briefing
Sky-high gas prices and aggressive monetary policy tightening have pushed the global economy to the brink of a late 2022/early...
Research Briefing
The UK government's energy price guarantee will mean a much lower peak for inflation, reducing the damage to household incomes....
Research Briefing
Although the risk of hard energy rationing has diminished, demand destruction triggered by the surge in energy prices has led...
Research Briefing
Metros that are home to a large share of headquarters saw higher growth in headquarter-specific jobs than in other sectors....
Research Briefing
We will increase gas prices and inflation and cut GDP growth in the September forecast round, with the eurozone economy...
Research Briefing
A combination of recession on the horizon, high inflation forecasted for the short term and rapid central bank tightening is...
Research Briefing
The global economic outlook has continued to deteriorate. Since our previous global scenarios were released three months ago, we have...
Research Briefing
The Norway mainland GDP forecast has been raised 0.5ppts to 3% following a slight growth surprise in Q2 and a...
Our modelling suggests incorporating owner-occupied housing costs would lower eurozone headline inflation from Q3 2022 by 0.3ppts, with negative contributions...
Research Briefing
Among large US metros, several southern ones are likely to out-perform over the 2022-26 period, including Dallas and Atlanta as...
